Weekly update with 5 weeks to go before Selection Sunday-
NET:
UConn 8 vs 7 -1
St John's 22 vs 24 +2
Villanova 32 vs 33 +1
Seton Hall 52 vs 49 -3
Butler 73 vs 64 -9
Providence 77 vs 87 +10
Creighton 78 vs 76 -2
Georgetown 94 vs 96 +2
Xavier 100 vs 97 -3
DePaul 112 vs 107 -5
Marquette 114 vs 126 +12

WAB:
UConn 4 vs 4 0
St John's 23 vs 28 +5
Villanova 30 vs 31 +1
Seton Hall 59 vs 53 -6
Creighton 72 vs 74 +2
Butler 84 vs 72 -12
Georgetown 86 vs 85 -1
Xavier 89 vs 91 +2
Providence 106 vs 132 +26
DePaul 108 vs 98 -10
Marquette 175 vs 201 +26

Seton Hall has moved up a little in the NET this week:

8 - UConn
24 - St. John’s
32 - Villanova

53 - Seton Hall

74 - Butler
77 - Providence
80 - Creighton
93 - Georgetown
97 - Xavier

108 - Marquette
109 - DePaul

Here’s WAB:

4 - UConn
24 - St. John’s
26 - Villanova

56 - Seton Hall

81 - Creighton
85 - Butler
86 - Georgetown
88 - Xavier

103 - DePaul
110 - Providence
175 - Marquette

After the upsets, the new NET is out:

10 - UConn
24 - St. John’s
29 - Villanova

51 - Seton Hall

73 - Creighton
80 - Butler
83 - Providence
94 - Georgetown
97 - Xavier
102 - DePaul
108 - Marquette

Could UConn be looking at a 3-seed?

Here’s the is the new WAB:

4 - UConn
20 - St. John’s
24 - Villanova

57 - Seton Hall

78 - Creighton
86 - Butler
89 - Xavier
90 - DePaul
94 - Georgetown
111 - Providence
182 - Marquette

(02-19-2026 05:45 PM)Bill Marsh Wrote:  After the upsets, the new NET is out:

10 - UConn
24 - St. John’s
29 - Villanova

51 - Seton Hall

73 - Creighton
80 - Butler
83 - Providence
94 - Georgetown
97 - Xavier
102 - DePaul
108 - Marquette

Could UConn be looking at a 3-seed?

Here’s the is the new WAB:

4 - UConn
20 - St. John’s
24 - Villanova

57 - Seton Hall

78 - Creighton
86 - Butler
89 - Xavier
90 - DePaul
94 - Georgetown
111 - Providence
182 - Marquette

Think we are only a 3 seed if we drop 2 more in the regular season. Our NET is that of a 3 seed but we are still #4 in WAB

I don’t know, Nameless. I hope you’re right but in its short history, NET has been the better predictor of seeding. We’ll see what Lunardi has to say when he comes out with his bracketology update today.

Here’s the new NET after this weekend’s games:

10 - UConn
23 - St. John’s
30 - Villanova

53 - Seton Hall

78 - Providence
80 - Butler
82 - Creighton
93 - Georgetown
98 - Xavier
103 - DePaul
108 - Marquette

And here’s the latest WAB:

4 - UConn
21 - St. John’s
24 - Villanova

55 - Seton Hall

78 - Creighton
84 - Butler
94 - Xavier
98 - Georgetown
99 - DePaul
106 - Providence
166 - Marquette

Maybe it's just me ... but the "bottom seven" look very similar. All reasonably solid. Nothing more and nothing less. Even Marquette is decent.

Completely agree, Bill. In fact, to me Villanova doesn’t seem all that dissimilar from them. Better shooters, perhaps. Brennan’s done a great job being a factor down low for them, but otherwise not much size. Willard has done a tremendous coaching job there.

To me, UConn & St. John’s seem to be on a different level from the rest in terms of size and talent.

(02-20-2026 12:39 PM)Bill Marsh Wrote:  I don’t know, Nameless. I hope you’re right but in its short history, NET has been the better predictor of seeding. We’ll see what Lunardi has to say when he comes out with his bracketology update today.

Sorry I just saw this. WAB, in its short history is actually a better indicator of seeding than NET (as evidenced by the early bracket reveal.)

(02-23-2026 02:03 PM)bill dazzle Wrote:  Maybe it's just me ... but the "bottom seven" look very similar. All reasonably solid. Nothing more and nothing less. Even Marquette is decent.

Agreed. Everyone one of the games between 2 of those 7 teams should be looked at as probably a 65% chance to win for the home team, regardless of matchup. On a neutral court, looks like a true 50/50 tossup to me.

(02-23-2026 02:20 PM)Bill Marsh Wrote:  Completely agree, Bill. In fact, to me Villanova doesn’t seem all that dissimilar from them. Better shooters, perhaps. Brennan’s done a great job being a factor down low for them, but otherwise not much size. Willard has done a tremendous coaching job there.

To me, UConn & St. John’s seem to be on a different level from the rest in terms of size and talent.

Fair assessment, my good man.