cubucks
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Open Thread: Week 10 CFB '25
I'll post the matchups soon, but wanted to start with some random resumes. These are numbers against P4 opponents only, and all records are current as of today. If you're a BIG fan or just lurking, please let me know what you think if you have an opinion.
Missouri
vs P4: 3-2
opponents record (P4): 25-15
record of defeated P4 teams 11-13
ESPN SOS: 31
Massey sos: 38
Losses: Alabama and Vanderbilt
Best wins: Auburn (4-4)
Washington
vs P4: 3-2
opponents record (P4): 26-12
record of defeated P4 teams: 13-10
ESPN SOS: 26
Massey sos: 16
Losses: Ohio State and Michigan
Best wins: Illinois (5-3), Maryland (4-3)
Memphis
vs P4: 1-0
opponents record (P4): 2-6
record of defeated P4 teams: 2-6
ESPN SOS: 116
Massey sos: 96
Losses: UAB
Best wins: USF (6-2)
Tennessee
vs P4: 4-2
opponents record (P4): 24-22
record of defeated P4 teams: 11-20
ESPN SOS: 21
Massey sos: 11
Losses: Georgia and Alabama
Best wins: Mississippi State (4-4)
Southern California
vs P4: 3-2
opponents record (P4): 21-18
record of defeated P4 teams: 11-13
ESPN SOS: 29
Massey sos: 20
Losses: Notre Dame and Illinois
Best wins: Michigan (6-2)
Nebraska
vs P4: 4-2
opponents record (P4): 30-17
record of defeated P4 teams: 19-12
ESPN SOS: 67
Massey sos: 53
Losses: Michigan and Minnesota
Best wins: Cincinnati (7-1)
Texas A&M
vs P4: 6-0
opponents record (P4): 23-23
record of defeated P4 teams: 23-23
ESPN SOS: 14
Massey sos: 8
Losses: None
Best wins: Notre Dame (5-2), LSU (5-3)
Ohio State
vs P4: 5-0
opponents record (P4): 24-16
record of defeated P4 teams: 24-16
ESPN SOS: 34
Massey sos: 52
Losses: None
Best wins: Texas (6-2), Washington (6-2)
Georgia Tech
vs P4: 6-0
opponents record (P4): 21-24
record of defeated P4 teams: 21-24
ESPN SOS: 83
Massey sos: 63
Losses: None
Best wins: Wake Forest (5-2)
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| 10-29-2025 10:46 AM |
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cubucks
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RE: Open Thread: Week 10 CFB '25
I'm really struggling with the disrespect Washington has endured this season. They can lose the rest of their games and I don't really care. They have, until now (week 10), been disrespected all season.
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| 10-29-2025 11:02 AM |
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The Beaver
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RE: Open Thread: Week 10 CFB '25
(10-29-2025 11:02 AM)cubucks Wrote: I'm really struggling with the disrespect Washington has endured this season. They can lose the rest of their games and I don't really care. They have, until now (week 10), been disrespected all season.
To be the best you have to beat the best, and they haven't.
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| 10-29-2025 06:29 PM |
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cubucks
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RE: Open Thread: Week 10 CFB '25
(10-29-2025 06:29 PM)The Beaver Wrote: (10-29-2025 11:02 AM)cubucks Wrote: I'm really struggling with the disrespect Washington has endured this season. They can lose the rest of their games and I don't really care. They have, until now (week 10), been disrespected all season.
To be the best you have to beat the best, and they haven't.
What about just being ranked? I don't see why that's been such a problem for the voters with Washington. Being ranked it crucial to all teams this time of year. Just my opinion.
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| 10-30-2025 07:49 AM |
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cubucks
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RE: Open Thread: Week 10 CFB '25
BIG
Penn State vs
Ohio State
Saturday 12:00 FOX
Ohio State leads series 25-14
Rutgers vs
Illinois
Saturday 12:00 NBC
Illinois leads series 6-3
Indiana vs
Maryland
Saturday 3:30 CBS
Indiana leads series 8-5
Michigan State vs
Minnesota
Saturday 3:30 BTN
Michigan State leads series 30-19
Purdue vs
Michigan
Saturday 7:00 BTN
Michigan leads series 47-14
Southern California vs
Nebraska
Saturday 7:30 NBC
USC leads series 5-0-1
Idle: Northwestern, Iowa, Wisconsin,
Washington, Oregon, UCLA
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| 10-30-2025 08:40 AM |
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MaroonState
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RE: Open Thread: Week 10 CFB '25
(10-29-2025 11:02 AM)cubucks Wrote: I'm really struggling with the disrespect Washington has endured this season. They can lose the rest of their games and I don't really care. They have, until now (week 10), been disrespected all season.
From my perspective it's both Washington and Iowa that are receiving significant disrespect from the voters. I'm not even saying they're top tier, but they deserve to be in the top 25.
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| 10-30-2025 09:46 AM |
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cubucks
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RE: Open Thread: Week 10 CFB '25
(10-30-2025 09:46 AM)MaroonState Wrote: (10-29-2025 11:02 AM)cubucks Wrote: I'm really struggling with the disrespect Washington has endured this season. They can lose the rest of their games and I don't really care. They have, until now (week 10), been disrespected all season.
From my perspective it's both Washington and Iowa that are receiving significant disrespect from the voters. I'm not even saying they're top tier, but they deserve to be in the top 25.
Agreed!
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| 10-30-2025 04:22 PM |
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Crayton
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RE: Open Thread: Week 10 CFB '25
(10-30-2025 09:46 AM)MaroonState Wrote: (10-29-2025 11:02 AM)cubucks Wrote: I'm really struggling with the disrespect Washington has endured this season. They can lose the rest of their games and I don't really care. They have, until now (week 10), been disrespected all season.
From my perspective it's both Washington and Iowa that are receiving significant disrespect from the voters. I'm not even saying they're top tier, but they deserve to be in the top 25.
I’ve got them #17 and #25 respectively. https://csnbbs.com/thread-1019251.html
I’d like to say “it’ll all work out in the end” but the guardrails are pretty broad when it comes to making sure the right teams go to the playoff. And there is even the issue that rankings drive in-season hype for the programs. East Coast bias?
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| 10-30-2025 06:51 PM |
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cubucks
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RE: Open Thread: Week 10 CFB '25
I'll go out on a limb and say these following two games Saturday will be CFP elimination games.
#23 Southern California (5-2) vs
NR Nebraska (6-2)
#18 Oklahoma (6-2) vs
#14 Tennessee (6-2)
Resumes
Southern California
vs P4: 3-2
opponents record (P4): 21-18
record of defeated P4 teams: 11-13
ESPN SOS: 29
Massey sos: 20
Losses: Notre Dame and Illinois
Best wins: Michigan (6-2)
Nebraska
vs P4: 4-2
opponents record (P4): 30-17
record of defeated P4 teams: 19-12
ESPN SOS: 67
Massey sos: 53
Losses: Michigan and Minnesota
Best wins: Cincinnati (7-1)
Oklahoma
vs P4: 3-2
opponents record (P4): 26-14
record of defeated P4 teams: 13-11
ESPN SOS: 22
Massey sos: 19
Losses: Ole Miss and Texas
Best wins: Michigan (6-2)
Tennessee
vs P4: 4-2
opponents record (P4): 24-22
record of defeated P4 teams: 11-20
ESPN SOS: 21
Massey sos: 11
Losses: Georgia and Alabama
Best wins: Mississippi State (4-4)
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| 10-31-2025 07:56 AM |
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cubucks
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RE: Open Thread: Week 10 CFB '25
I like Texas over Vanderbilt today by double digits. Something like 35-24.
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| 11-01-2025 11:04 AM |
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cubucks
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RE: Open Thread: Week 10 CFB '25
PSU playing with a lot of heart and going toe to toe with the Buckeyes; as it should be.
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| 11-01-2025 12:39 PM |
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Crayton
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RE: Open Thread: Week 10 CFB '25
(10-31-2025 07:56 AM)cubucks Wrote: I'll go out on a limb and say these following two games Saturday will be CFP elimination games.
#23 Southern California (5-2) vs
NR Nebraska (6-2)
#18 Oklahoma (6-2) vs
#14 Tennessee (6-2)
Utah-Cincy, the late game, is the other one I have.
EDIT: and ECU-Temple, though obviously ECU needs help.
(This post was last modified: 11-01-2025 07:11 PM by Crayton.)
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| 11-01-2025 06:45 PM |
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cubucks
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RE: Open Thread: Week 10 CFB '25
(11-01-2025 06:45 PM)Crayton Wrote: (10-31-2025 07:56 AM)cubucks Wrote: I'll go out on a limb and say these following two games Saturday will be CFP elimination games.
#23 Southern California (5-2) vs
NR Nebraska (6-2)
#18 Oklahoma (6-2) vs
#14 Tennessee (6-2)
Utah-Cincy, the late game, is the other one I have.
EDIT: and ECU-Temple, though obviously ECU needs help.
Yeah, do you think a 2-loss Cincinnati, losing to Nebraska and Utah, but a victory over BYU would be left out? I think they might, though I don't know if they'd deserve to not be in?
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| 11-01-2025 09:21 PM |
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The Beaver
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RE: Open Thread: Week 10 CFB '25
(11-01-2025 09:21 PM)cubucks Wrote: (11-01-2025 06:45 PM)Crayton Wrote: (10-31-2025 07:56 AM)cubucks Wrote: I'll go out on a limb and say these following two games Saturday will be CFP elimination games.
#23 Southern California (5-2) vs
NR Nebraska (6-2)
#18 Oklahoma (6-2) vs
#14 Tennessee (6-2)
Utah-Cincy, the late game, is the other one I have.
EDIT: and ECU-Temple, though obviously ECU needs help.
Yeah, do you think a 2-loss Cincinnati, losing to Nebraska and Utah, but a victory over BYU would be left out? I think they might, though I don't know if they'd deserve to not be in?
Baylor and the two Kansas schools are okay this year, at worst. Two of those are road games. My bet is that Cincy doesn't finish 10-2.
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| 11-02-2025 03:01 AM |
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Crayton
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RE: Open Thread: Week 10 CFB '25
(11-02-2025 03:01 AM)The Beaver Wrote: (11-01-2025 09:21 PM)cubucks Wrote: (11-01-2025 06:45 PM)Crayton Wrote: (10-31-2025 07:56 AM)cubucks Wrote: I'll go out on a limb and say these following two games Saturday will be CFP elimination games.
#23 Southern California (5-2) vs
NR Nebraska (6-2)
#18 Oklahoma (6-2) vs
#14 Tennessee (6-2)
Utah-Cincy, the late game, is the other one I have.
EDIT: and ECU-Temple, though obviously ECU needs help.
Yeah, do you think a 2-loss Cincinnati, losing to Nebraska and Utah, but a victory over BYU would be left out? I think they might, though I don't know if they'd deserve to not be in?
Baylor and the two Kansas schools are okay this year, at worst. Two of those are road games. My bet is that Cincy doesn't finish 10-2.
Mm, I guess I should have specified "eliminated from at large consideration." If Cincy wins out, they are going to Arlington, but if they lose there I show only a 20% chance of retaining a bid as a 10-3 team. "Eliminate" may then be too strong of a word, I use <50% as "eliminated".
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| 11-02-2025 04:51 PM |
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