(01-08-2023 05:55 PM)bryanw1995 Wrote:  I agree that SDSU and SMU make the most sense, and both get the invite the day after the new deal is signed (coming in at ~ 1/2 shares for the new deal). Gonzaga has many reasons to prefer the Pac over the big 12, and the Pac is more anxious for good news now than the big 12, meaning they'll likely offer Gonzaga a better deal than the big 12 would. Add it all together, and you still get a big dropoff from USCLA, but perhaps not as crushing of a blow as we might have thought a few months ago.

I think this is plausible.

The 50% shares for the duration of the new deal makes sense and it would give a raise to the current PAC schools and give a bump for SMU/SDSU. I do wonder what happens at the end of the deal? SMU/SDSU won't accept being half a member in future deals.