Browning Hall
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RE: Tigers vs Navy By The Numbers 2021
(10-11-2021 08:08 PM)MtownTigers916 Wrote: There is something oddsmakers see that I can’t put my finger on. ESPN FPI still has us at about a 90% chance of winning. We are over a touchdown favorites. I’m not sure what sort of deep stat magic they have, but they are usually right
This helps explain it:
Look up "The Good Judgement Project." Vegas obviously pays their handicappers to try and figure it out. And they do a really old job of it. But the general public will hone that number into a more accurate figure.
For example, take 10 people and ask them how much a cow weighs. When you average the answers you will get a number that's kind of close to the weight. Now take 1000 people and do the same thing. That number will be more accurate. More people betting = more accurate line.
https://goodjudgment.com/
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10-11-2021 10:21 PM |
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