(07-21-2021 07:12 PM)Stugray2 Wrote:  

(07-21-2021 06:48 PM)solohawks Wrote:  If I were the Big 12, I would reach out to USC and see if there is still unrest in PAC land. I know Larry Scott is leaving but the PAC still is limited to MT/PT which just isn't TV friendly. If USC has any interest whatsoever in leaving the PAC I tell them to pick the 7 teams they want to be in a division with and build a Big 16.

Long shot but you gotta try.

If that doesn't work you have the usual suspects of BYU, AAC, and MWC schools to build from.

With 6 auto bids in a 12 team playoff the Big can still position themselves as the clear #5 team so that they still have that playoff certainty

You guys are making the false assumption the B12 can somehow keep their contract value with BYU and Cincy (or whomever you choose) instead of OU and Texas in 2025 and also the false assumption that the Pac-12 wont see a 30% or more bump in revenues from the next contract, especially as they are finishing a very long one, which suggests a larger bump.

When you look at that picture come 2025 (just a few years away) the B12 looks way weaker than the Pac-12 or the ACC in terms of per school payout. My honest WAG is the B12 will wind up with perhaps a little over doubt the American, or about $15m per school, rather than a bump to $40m or so they'll need to stay in contact with the Pac-12 or ACC.

The question is will the ACC reach out to say KU for their Basketball and TCU for both football and Basketball? I think both of those are more likely come 2026 with Texas and OU gone than any P12 school coming to the B12.

Instead I see the B12 back filling as need with near power schools like Houston, Memphis, Cincy, UCF and BYU. Likely in a sort of ad hoc manner.

That's why if you're the Big 12 and Texas and OU leave you gotta try and get USC and friends. That's the only way to maintain and possibly grow the TV contract

If you go with the usual suspects you will be making more than the AAC but much less than the now P4