(06-03-2021 12:33 PM)ken d Wrote:  

(06-03-2021 07:59 AM)Nerdlinger Wrote:  

(06-03-2021 06:37 AM)Fighting Muskie Wrote:  It’s a fun exercise but I’m curious, why New Mexico, Rice, SMU, Houston, Memphis, and Cincinnati for your 6 call ups?

The last 3 I get, but I’d hardly consider the first 3 the next schools on deck. UCF, USF, and BYU are probably the next best.

Geography. I tried to work UCF and USF in but couldn't finagle it. Tulane was the 7th call-up.

I didn't have much trouble. I tossed Tulane, Rice and New Mexico (none of which belong in the P6) and replaced them with UCF, USF and Boise State.

I put UCF and USF into the SEC.
Boise went to the PAC 12.
Colorado and Memphis to the SWC.

At the end of the day, these are the average Sagarin ratings for each conference (as amended) for 2019 (the last "normal" year of play):

78.0 SWC
77.8 ACC
77.5 SEC
77.2 BE
77.1 PAC
76.2 B12

You're not going to get much more parity than that.

In aggregate, we see great parity. But when you try to break these conferences down into geographically rational divisions, it doesn't work so well.

The SWC does OK, with a western division at 78.0 and the east at 77.6.

The PAC's not bad either with a spread of 78.2 vs 76.0.

Next best is the SWC at 80.8 vs 71.5.

Now we get awful. The SEC west, with both Bama and LSU, clocks in at 81.0, while the denuded east is 73.9. The ACC South is loaded at 84.7, but The North with Tobacco Road is only 70.9 even giving them FSU and Miami.

The new Big East is a disaster, with a loaded western division at 85.1 and the pitiful east scores only 69.3.

There may be good competition within divisions, but between divisions not so much. To get all divisions into the 77 range that the conferences fall into would take a lot more work.