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official: EKU, JSU, UCA to ASUN July 1, 2021
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Stugray2 Offline
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Post: #162
RE: official: EKU, JSU, UCA to ASUN July 1, 2021
Lots of confusion here.

We are talking football, then it is possible two of the five schools could get berths to the NCAA FCS tournament.

If we are talking basketball, all these conferences are pretty much hopelessly single bid. There are 32 AQs for conference champions, and 36 at-large. The majors (P5 + Big East) have gotten an average of 31 in the last 6 years of the tourney. This year seems to be breaking down almost identical. The other five are typically going to the "upper mids" group (American, MWC, WCC, A10, maybe MVC). Every once in awhile some other conference will produce one, but it's very rare.

This year, if I'm a betting man, the NET seems to be breaking for one at-large to the MWC, WCC and MVC with A10 and American having a very good chance based on depth and recent performance. Nobody else looks close barring something unforeseen. I think the B1G will get 8 at-large, the other 5 major conferences will get between 4 and 6 each.

This is pretty normal distribution, the B1G a bit heavier than normal. I expect it will shift to another conference in a few years, as it always does.

I do find it ironic that the American is so against taking Boise State basketball, as they look like a near lock for a bid, regardless of how they do in the MWC tourney.
01-28-2021 01:45 PM
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RE: official: EKU, JSU, UCA to ASUN July 1, 2021 - Stugray2 - 01-28-2021 01:45 PM



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