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Current thoughts on the COVID as of June 19
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Saint3333 Offline
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Post: #155
RE: Current thoughts on the COVID as of June 19
The true mortality rate is much closer to under .26-2% than the simple method of Dividing known deaths by known cases to date of 5+%. Spreading numbers like 5% is disingenuous. Wore my mask yesterday and will do so again today.

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-nco...arios.html

https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.usatoda...5269331002

The document includes five scenarios. The first four are varying estimates of the disease's severity, from low to high, while the fifth represents the "current best estimate."

The range of estimates put the fatality rate for those showing symptoms between 0.2%-1%, with a "best estimate" of 0.4%.

It also places the number of asymptomatic cases between 20%-50%, with a "best estimate" of 35%.

By combining the two estimates, the estimated overall fatality rate of those infected with the virus – with and without symptoms – would be 0.26%.

Harvard University epidemiologist Marc Lipsitch told the "80,000 Hours" podcast in a May 18 episode that he believes the fatality rate is "clearly above 0.2% and probably above 0.4%," likely lying somewhere between 0.2%-1.5%.
(This post was last modified: 07-03-2020 07:00 AM by Saint3333.)
07-03-2020 06:59 AM
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RE: Current thoughts on the COVID as of June 19 - Saint3333 - 07-03-2020 06:59 AM



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