(03-23-2020 12:29 PM)BobcatEngineer Wrote:  

Quote:Though the 2009 flu pandemic primarily affected children and young and middle-aged adults, the impact of the (H1N1)pdm09 virus on the global population during the first year was less severe than that of previous pandemics. Estimates of pandemic influenza mortality ranged from 0.03 percent of the world’s population during the 1968 H3N2 pandemic to 1 percent to 3 percent of the world’s population during the 1918 H1N1 pandemic. It is estimated that 0.001 percent to 0.007 percent of the world’s population died of respiratory complications associated with (H1N1)pdm09 virus infection during the first 12 months the virus circulated.

CDC

Who would have guessed a pandemic with a ~1% mortality rate is taken much more seriously than a pandemic with a 0.001-0.007% mortality rate.

MATH IS HARD.

It really is hard when you don't have a value for your denominator.

We'll be able to Monday morning quarterback Trump in about 2 years, just like we can Obama regarding H1N1. It is kind of remarkable to compare the press response during the illness, when the true scope is yet to be known.

By the way, the 0.001-0.007 is the % of world population that died. That is different and not comparable to a mortality rate of individuals who actually contracted a disease (unless your assertion is that 1% of the world population will die from Wuhan virus).

EPIDEMIOLOGY IS HARD