(03-15-2020 04:10 PM)SMUstang Wrote:  Here's what I think will happen around 2024

BIG XII: 14 SCHOOLS
Additions - Colorado, Cincinnati, Houston, UCF

PAC 12: 14 SCHOOLS
Additions - SDSU, UNLV, Fresno State

I see zero motivation for the PAC or Big 12 to expand. I mean sure, if Texas AM and Notre Dame suddenly decide they want to join (rejoin) the Big 12 then they'd roll out the red carpet. But there's no chance they are expanding with G5 schools, that would seriously dilute per-school revenue.

Ditto for the PAC.

The only way either adds G5 schools is if a catastrophe happens and they are savagely raided by another P5, e.g., imagine if the B1G steals Texas and Kansas and the SEC takes Oklahoma and Oklahoma State. Then the leftover Big 12, shrunk down to six, would have to add some G5 schools to get back up to 10, even though they'd no longer be an AQ conference.