(03-11-2020 10:42 PM)MvETigers Wrote:  

(03-11-2020 09:35 PM)ncrdbl1 Wrote:  

(03-10-2020 05:05 PM)MvETigers Wrote:  OMG! When they cancel these tournaments due to flu... or H1N1... or any other health scare that are actually MUCH worse, then I will be shocked.

This is just ridiculous.

They are trying to restrict the spread by eliminating large gatherings. So far the spread has been slowed by quarantines. But if the spread ever reaches the same level of cases as say the flu the death rate in the US could reach in the millions.

There is no uniform quarantine for the flu in the US so people go about their daily lives infecting others to the point we have between 9 million and 45 million cases each year. And between 11,000 and 61,000 deaths.

But if we had between 9 million and 45 million corona cases in the US we could see between 450,000 and 2.5 million deaths. To put that in proper perspective annual we have right at 2.7 million death from all causes combined.

I don't know where you pull your numbers from, other than out of your ass.

You have zero proper perspective when you post crap like that. Nobody is predicting that C19 will have a .5% mortality rate, becuase as cases are diagnosed especially in younger and healthier people that rate will plummet.

H1N1 had a higher mortality rate, from the beginning. There were between 43 and 89 million H1N1 cases in a one year period in the US alone. Around 274,000 hospitalizations resulted with an estimated 20,000 deaths in the US. With those infection numbers, I remember them cancelling schools, sporting events, concerts, and..... wait, no, they didn't.

I get my numbers from the WHO.

As of 6 hours ago, there were 121,568 known cases in the world.

In 66,810+ of the cases the virus runs its course and they recovered.

In the other 4,385 concluded cases, the patient died.

There are another 50,373 known active cases where the virus has not run its course. Even if 100% of those remaining cases resulted in the patient recovering it would still be a 3.6% mortality rate.

It is NOT likely that the mortality rate among the 50,373 of the remaining known cases will be any different than the 71,195+ cases which have run its course. Which should result in 3,306 more deaths among that 50,373

7,691/121,568=0.0632 Convert that to % you get 6.3%.

As far as the number of flu cases. CDC report.




Unlike you I NEVER pull numbers out of my ass I verify and then double verify before posting.



Also from March 10th to March 11th, there were 41 new cases that brought the US number to 1,016 cases. Of which 15 have recovered, that number has not changed from the 10th to the 11th. There was 1 additional death on the 11th which brought the total to 31 deaths.

So in 36 cases in the US which had run its course, 31 died 15 recovered.