(01-24-2020 11:01 AM)stever20 Wrote:  

(01-24-2020 10:56 AM)b0ndsj0ns Wrote:  

(01-23-2020 05:39 PM)arkstfan Wrote:  Back when Boise State was Big East bound, their president who is no poker face, had told numerous people within the intercollegiate athletics community that Boise State had to make $4 million more in Big East than MWC for the deal to make financial sense.

My sense of the situation is MWC has done the math and has concluded Boise State cannot leave MWC and be in a better economic situation unless they get a P5. Maybe the math sort of works out if WCC would invite them but WCC showed no such inclination last time and they were going to subsidize Big West to take them.

I think MWC's membership has concluded that they end up no worse off if Boise State leaves as long as the Broncos are getting favored nation status, they were probably within a few dollars (in athletic budget terms) of exactly the same place in a contract without Boise State vs a contract with Boise State that gives the Broncos extra money. Therefore they are more than willing to put the Broncos on notice that they need to leave or accept being equal partners.

That calculation does not take into account how much ESPN values now losing all of Boise's content. Do they value it enough to increase the AAC's contract with them in the league enough to make it make financial sense? ESPN has shown in the past they are plenty comfortable stealing properties from leagues they are losing and shifting them to leagues they own, so this would be right in line with the ESPN playbook. The question is do they care about losing all of Boise's games that much?

Or the other thing would be to not reduce the AAC contract at all with UConn leaving....

I could see ESPN paying what they were going to pay with Boise in place of UConn. Probably would require the AAC to get a basketball replacement for UConn(like VCU).

I don't think leaving it as is would be enough to get Boise to move. A FB only share for Boise of the current deal would probably be pretty similar to what they will be getting from the MWC in their new TV deal with the bonus.