(07-30-2019 11:56 PM)Rob3338 Wrote:  

(07-30-2019 05:02 PM)Nerdlinger Wrote:  

(07-30-2019 04:28 PM)JRsec Wrote:  

(07-30-2019 03:50 PM)quo vadis Wrote:  Overwhelmingly likely exactly where it is now.

But if the G5 has fewer schools in 2026, IMO it will almost surely be because some schools could not afford the cost of constant $25m subsidies for football and dropped out, not because some got promoted to the P5.

If there are defections from the Big 12, and the remaining 6 or 7 schools refill by adding 4 to 7 of the existing G5 we will have a tweener conference that will be stronger than the AAC. If that happens I think there will be consolidation into a G4 and possibly even a G3.

There is as much stratification within the G5 as there is within the P5 and between the two.

I could easily see Cincinnati, Houston, South Florida, Central Florida and possibly Memphis getting the call up, and I think the metrics are there for East Carolina if they aren't too much of an outlier.

At that point I think the AAC becomes the best of the rest and CUSA and/or the Sunbelt goes away.

But this only happens if there is movement from the Big 12. Otherwise it's status quo.

I'd think Temple would get the call before ECU.

I agree with either Temple, or BYU joining Cincy, Houston the Florida twins and perhaps Memphis. ECU seems a distant outsider.

Yeah I’d guess Temple is a near lock if West Virginia is left in the Big 12. Especially if their new coach can continue their recent success so they can keep building their program. Don’t see anyway ECU is involved.

Honestly if I had to guess what changes I’d say UT and OU leave along with 2 tag alongs putting the Big 12 at 6 and then they add 6 teams from the American so they can get to 12 and have divisions. Don’t see BYU involved in any scenario.

UCF, USF, Cincy, Temple, Houston, Memphis

I expect that year the playoff gets expanded to 8 as well. I could see ESPN getting fully invested in this tweener Big 12 and propping them up so much that they get 1 team in the 8 team playoff almost yearly.