(07-12-2019 07:59 PM)Stugray2 Wrote:  I don't see the B12 picked apart beyond Texas and OU. You can make a stretch case for KU, but it dies at that point.

OU will leave, they would gain more financially and in stability than going SEC or B1G. I see B1G slightly more likely (restart the Nebraska rivalry). Texas I can't see sticking around without OU, so I see them going ACC (full member, no Independent Football), as neither the B1G or SEC seem right for all their needs (being a bigger fish than the pond -- they have their money already).

So all I see happening is the B12 back filling with 2 or 3 schools from a small list of 6 schools:
BYU, Colorado State, Houston, Cincinnati, South Florida, Central Florida (I went West to East, not any ranking order)

I have no clue which. When I measured the metrics they were all close, with BYU on top, but not by much, and the other 5 so close as to be within the margin of error for value. I think it will come down to who is on an upswing institutionally and athletically come 2023 and 2024. It could be any of them.

I see minor back fill from AAC if needed, ditto MWC if they lose CSU. And nothing more.

I don't see enough value in all the "open access" schools of the B12 for any of the other P5 to make a move. So I think they all stand pat. (KU is the only possible from the little 8, and I just don't think it's likely unless they miraculously become a playoff contender by 2023)

Little 8-LOL. I guess the little 8 should discontinue all sports since none of us have any value.

I think the power schools who make all the money should form a league of their own. USC, UCLA, Texas, Oklahoma, LSU, Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Tennessee, Clemson, North Carolina, Virginia, Michigan, Nebraska, Iowa and Penn St can form a league while the little members from those conferences form a 2nd league consisting of the following:

Washington, Oregon, Stanford, Cal, Arizona, Arizona St, Texas Tech, Texas A&M, Oklahoma St, Kansas, Arkansas, Ole Miss, Miss St, Auburn, Florida St
South Carolina and Ohio St.