(09-11-2019 12:30 PM)flyingswoosh Wrote:  

(09-10-2019 08:22 AM)stever20 Wrote:  

(09-10-2019 08:11 AM)flyingswoosh Wrote:  

(09-09-2019 09:10 PM)stever20 Wrote:  well, I think the Cy Young race in the NL is officially down to 2....
Scherzer 10-5 2.56 ERA 154.2 IP 216 K's
de Grom 9-8 2.70 ERA 183 IP 231 K's

Ryu 12-5 2.45 ERA 161.2 IP 142 K's I think would need both to come back to him and Ryu would have to do well when he gets back...

How is the guy with 29 fewer innings on the same level as Degrom?

I think right now de Grom would probably take it. But there's still for both guys 3 more starts left. A lot could change with those 3 starts. If Scherzer could extend that ERA lead up to about 0.40- I think he would have a very real chance. Like I said 2 years ago with Sale/Kluber- if all you have is innings lead- you don't have much. Look last year Snell/Verlander as a great example-
Snell- 21-5 1.89 180.2 IP
Verlander- 16-9 2.52 214 IP

So Verlander had 33.1 more IP and Snell won.

Yeah but that ERA different was .63. DeGrom and Scherzer are much closer. You're right that a wider gap could make the difference, but DeGrom could just as easily close that gap or keep it the same.

I just don't think voters look at innings anywhere near as closely as you think they do.... I think you have to get to a minimum threshold(probably close to 180), but after that, you're fine.

And yeah, I realize that Scherzer only has 154 right now and 3 starts left- so he's looking at 170-175 most likely.