NL is gonna be nuts this year. PECOTA projections have only 4 teams in the NL with less than 80 wins, and two of 'em are at 79. They predict teams with 86, 85, and 84 wins will miss the playoffs. The AL projections, while not as deep, have the division winners at 96, 97, and 98 wins (only one NL team is predicted to exceed 90 wins - LA at 93). For the WS anyway, the deck is stacked against the NL once again.

(Not so) crazy prediction: San Diego will call up Fernando Tatis Jr. shortly after the start of the season (only two more weeks in the minors will delay FA for another year) and he'll contribute to SD having a NL top 5 offense. Unfortunately, SD will have NL bottom 3 starting pitching. They'll try to bring someone in before the deadline but will still fall short.

AL: Yankees, Indians, Astros division winners; Rays and Angels (home town pick - I don't really believe this) wild cards. Astros win AL

NL: Nats, Cards, Dodgers division winners; Phillies (just barely cuz Harper is still good-not-great) and Brewers wild cards. Dodgers win NL

Astros win WS