(08-29-2018 01:39 PM)stever20 Wrote:  

(08-29-2018 01:30 PM)Brookes Owl Wrote:  I think we're seeing exactly what we should have expected re SOS. Dodgers struggled with better teams, lost ground, then gained some back feasting on bad teams while AZ struggled. Going forward, LA's SOS is .496, CO's is .526, and AZ's is a scary .545. stever's probably right that LA and CO are more likely to be duking it out at the end than AZ. The head to head still has the potential to have a huge impact but if these teams basically hold their own against each other the remainder of the schedule is likely to hurt AZ a great deal, and you'd give the advantage to LA.

All that said, I continue to believe that the Dodgers are no better than a playoff contender and are simply not performing to make much noise in the post season. The offense looks great sometimes but has a tendency to get shut down by decent lefties. The pen, well, there's not much use worrying about "the bridge to Kenley Jansen" when he's walking to the mound with a gas can in one hand and a lighter in the other.

lol on your last statement about Jansen....

I did a bit of looking- and he actually did struggle some numbers wise in July. Gave up 2 homers and 4 walks in only 13.1 innings. Had a good 2.03 ERA- but a 3.01 FIP. So while you see what he has done since coming back off the DL- he had struggled for him prior to that even.

His velo is pretty much where it was before he went on the DL - it looks like a command issue. He had trouble with command early in the season that he appeared to fix; dunno if this is a similar.

Quote:Where I think the Dodgers SOS has a bit of a problem is that they have after this weekend only 9 home games left out of 25 games. Arizona gets 15 of 25 at home and Colorado is 17/26 at home.

Included in the Dodgers road games are 3 in Colorado, 3 in Arizona, and 4 in St Louis. Definitely not easy at all. And even the road games in Cincy won't be easy in that park.

There's a .050 difference between LA and AZ. I think road vs home may eat up SOME of that delta but no way it's worth 50 points.