(04-30-2018 12:28 PM)Brookes Owl Wrote:  

(04-29-2018 07:14 PM)stever20 Wrote:  I don't see any other way to call these next 6 games vs Arizona as anything but at least a must split for the Dodgers. Go even 2-4 and we're talking a 9 game margin. Even if it's after only 36 games, that's still a huge margin.

The Dodgers just went 2-5 against the Marlins and Giants. No injured guys are coming back (except maybe Hill - meh) for AZ and 4 of the 6 games are in AZ. They're not gonna split.

It's been a perfect storm of excellent performance by AZ and injuries/performance issues by LA, so my perspective on this season has changed. Wild card seems like a possibility but they'll still need significant improvement (not just recovery from injury) to get even that. But I'm not giving up; using the word "must" as in "must split" implies a definite negative consequence if they don't split so with 120+ games remaining that's hyperbole. Even though the odds would be poorer, too many things can happen with that many games remaining.

If they go 2-4, and the teams match each other this weekend(which would be bad for LA- as Arizona gets Houston while LA gets San Diego)- after 36 games Arizona would be 9 games up on LA....

If Arizona goes just .500 from there- 63-63, Dodgers to win would need to go 73-53. That's a 94 win pace. While yes, LA can do that, that's assuming Arizona is going to become a .500 team. If Arizona just is a .550 team- very reasonable since all but 1 month since the start of last season they went .550 or better- they would be 69-57. For the Dodgers to top that, they'd need to go 79-47. That's a 102 win pace. Yeah, really not seeing that at all. And the Dodgers can't really impact Arizona that much after next week- only 7 games left with them.