(03-07-2018 12:20 PM)UTSAMarineVet09 Wrote:  I swear, if I bet a dollar every time Tom made a wrong prediction, I would be a millionaire by now.

That's not a prediction, that's the vote totals. You're free to go to the Texas SOS website and look up the Democratic and Republican primary turnout numbers for 2014, 2016, and 2018 and compare them.

Dems up by 90 percent. GOP up by about 10-15. That's versus 2014. Versus 2016, Dems went down by 26 percent and the GOP went down close to 40 percent.

Margin in primary voting in 2014: GOP 70-30. Margin 2016: GOP 63-37... Margin this year 60-40. There's always the risk of reading WAAAY too much into primary results.

Again, it could have better for the Dems, but doubling 2014 is still a good place to work from. We've got 8 months and in Texas, general elections are usually FAR more favorable to the Dems than primaries are.