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Realistic Mid-Major At-Large Bid Candidates
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Wedge Offline
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Post: #113
RE: Realistic Mid-Major At-Large Bid Candidates
(03-06-2018 09:01 AM)stever20 Wrote:  
(03-06-2018 07:23 AM)_C2_ Wrote:  St. Mary's will be fine. They lost to the right team. Had they fallen to Pepperdine, then they'd be in serious trouble. Instead they lost to an RPI top 100 team. They have a win over New Mexico State, Gonzaga and two wins over BYU,

They will, however, likely drop into a double digit seed, which is acutally blessing in disguise and a million times better than being in the 8/9/1/16 pod of the bracket.

I don't think they will be fine. For one, if BYU beats Gonzaga, Gonzaga probably falls from the top 30, meaning St Mary's would have all of 1 Q1 win.

I think best case for them, they're going to Dayton.

If BYU beats Gonzaga, then Saint Mary's win at BYU is a Tier 1 RPI win.

But, SMC is now in the same boat as every other team projected to have a 9-11 seed and will be rooting for the Zags tonight, because if BYU wins and becomes a bid thief, it hurts not only the teams that your favorite bracket guy projects in the "last 4 in/first 4 out" group, but as an autobid winner BYU would bump one of the 10-11 seed at-large teams down into the First Four. (Any other bid thief would do the same, of course.)
03-06-2018 11:24 AM
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RE: Realistic Mid-Major At-Large Bid Candidates - Wedge - 03-06-2018 11:24 AM



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