The unofficial online home for fans of the Old Dominion University Monarchs. Part of Collegiate Sports Nation (CSN).

This analysis sounds about right. Also this analyst tends to agree, like I mentioned before, that we are likely to lose 5 total CUSA games. This would also suggest that we are on the side looking in for the NIT as well because looking at who we have left to play...our final RPI/SOS ranking will be well above 100 because WKU is the only team ranked below 100 and we essentially can't finish as conference regular season runner up.

What do others think ?

Old Dominion Basketball
Predictions Update
Feb 2, 2018
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After losing to Middle Tenn 66-59 yesterday, Old Dominion is now projected to finish the regular season 23-7 (14-4 CUSA).
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The odds that the Monarchs make the NCAA tournament are down to 23%, a decrease of 9% since yesterday.
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We currently rank Old Dominion as the #87 team in the country, and the #3 team in the CUSA.
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Next game: Sat, Feb 3 vs. #115 UAB. Our power ratings give the Monarchs a 75% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 23%

Get Automatic NCAA Bid. 20%

Projected Seed 12
(if Selected)


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Old Dominion almost certainly won't get an at-large bid to the NCAA tournament, so they need to earn an automatic bid by winning the CUSA tournament.
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As for an automatic bid ... Old Dominion has a 20% chance to win the conference tournament. They're more likely than not to lose, but they do have a reasonable shot at winning.
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We project the Monarchs with a 1% chance to make the Sweet Sixteen, but essentially no chance to reach the Final Four.
More Old Dominion Bracketology | Bracketology For All Teams

Regular Season Record Projection
Current Record

Projection For Remaining Games

Projected
Final Record

16-5

(7-2 CUSA)

7-2

(7-2 CUSA)

23-7

(14-4 CUSA)

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The more precise final record expectation for Old Dominion is 22.6 wins and 7.4 losses, slightly worse than the rounded projection above.
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Based on our projections, the Monarchs will most likely finish the regular season with a record between 24-6 and 22-8.
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Old Dominion has a 5% chance to win all 9 of their remaining scheduled games.
More Old Dominion Projections | Projections For All CUSA Teams

CUSA Tournament Projections
Get CUSA #1 Seed

Projected Seed

Win CUSA Tournament

3%

3

20%

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The odds for Old Dominion to earn the #1 seed in the CUSA tournament are down 22% since yesterday.
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The chance of Old Dominion winning the CUSA tournament has decreased by 3% since yesterday.
Full CUSA Tournament Projections

Remaining Games & Win Odds
Feb 3
UAB Logo
vs. #115 UAB
75.2%
Preview

Feb 8
Southern Miss Logo
@ #253 S Mississippi
78.7%
Preview

Feb 10
Louisiana Tech Logo
@ #124 LA Tech
48.7%
Preview

Feb 15
Texas-San Antonio Logo
vs. #196 TX-San Ant
89.3%
Preview

Feb 17
Texas-El Paso Logo
vs. #236 TX El Paso
93.0%
Preview

Feb 22
Marshall Logo
@ #151 Marshall
56.6%
Preview

Feb 24
Western Kentucky Logo
@ #84 W Kentucky
34.8%
Preview

Mar 1
Florida Atlantic Logo
vs. #247 Fla Atlantic
93.6%
Preview

Mar 3
Florida International Logo
vs. #277 Florida Intl
95.6%