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Imagine an SEC schedule with Oklahoma and Oklahoma State
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murrdcu Offline
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Post: #21
RE: Imagine an SEC schedule with Oklahoma and Oklahoma State
(08-11-2017 05:47 PM)JRsec Wrote:  
(08-11-2017 05:39 PM)murrdcu Wrote:  
(08-11-2017 05:05 PM)JRsec Wrote:  Let's take another tack here guys.

Yesterday the markets reflected an entirely different reality to what Disney has proposed. CBNC analysts seem to think that in 2019 Disney will be the cable provider and streaming provider. Think about it. Right now DirectTV/ATT, Charter/Spectrum, WOW, and other cable providers are all reassessing everything. Disney announced that Netflix will not have any Disney programming to offer at the start of 2019. Disney is pulling it all back and they are going to provide their own package of Disney products & ESPN's offerings as an entity. Who knows? They may wind up offering other premium movie channels as part of the package.

What will happen is you won't have 400 channels where 1/3rd of them are shopping and advertising channels. Right now getting live sports is the leader that all of the other cable services pay to have so that they can make money off of the other crap channels that pay them to sell their stuff. Throw in TV rerun channels and add the various History / Geogrpahic /Smitsonian channels and that's your package. We if Disney pulls ESPN from those to launch their own the SEC and ACC stand to make even more because the middle man is cut out and Disney will be keeping all of the profits up front.

Such a package might not offer the PACN & BTN if they aren't with ESPN. Suddenly without ESPN to get the eyes for them they are up the proverbial creek without a paddle. That's tremendous leverage for Disney.

But as to the SEC and ACC realignment issues go consider this:

Oklahoma, Kansas to the SEC & Texas to the ACC with N.D. all in is the absolute home run for the two conferences. But if UT and OU insist on little brothers too then perhaps this is the best way to go:
Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Kansas, Iowa State to the SEC.
Texas, Texas Tech, West Virginia to the ACC. N.D. goes all in.

We can hope for the first option and prepare to settle for something like the second.

Now if the Big 10 does a reverse and divests itself from the BTN and goes with an ESPN held model of the BTN then those divisions of property could be quite different.

Texas and Kansas to the Big 10.
Oklahoma and Oklahoma State to the SEC.
Notre Dame and West Virginia to the ACC.
Texas Tech, T.C.U., Baylor, Iowa State, and Kansas State to the AAC or PAC.

I think Disney wants to do a service similar to Netflix where prerecorded TV shows and movies and TV episodes can be viewed as soon as they are put up on the service. This works for Disney 's content as well as for their movies as I assume the sales of movies on DVD and bluray are dropping like CD's did a decade ago.

I don't see ESPN being solely accessible to only subscribers of this new service as it would cut out all those subscribtion fees from the providers. In another decade it might be feasible for everyone to watch high quality live sports and movies from their phones and TV's with almost guaranteed reliable service, but we are not quite there yet.

ESPN would be wise to keep the B1G and PAC games in that model. A 50% share to a 25% share on those top games would still require those fans to add that service to watch their team play. The SEC and ACC would still provide the bulk of the programming.

I think Disney will hike the fees for the cable providers to keep ESPN. It won't be exorbitant maybe a buck to a buck fifty. So from 7 and change to 9. They will now have the leverage to do it.

True. But we are also at a time where old cable tv companies might make more money off of internet service as opposed to providing tv channels. High speed internet providers will be taking in the cash; wireless companies trying to provide some of that service too.
08-11-2017 07:32 PM
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RE: Imagine an SEC schedule with Oklahoma and Oklahoma State - murrdcu - 08-11-2017 07:32 PM

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