(08-07-2017 05:37 PM)murrdcu Wrote:  

(08-07-2017 04:39 PM)JRsec Wrote:  

(08-07-2017 03:13 PM)murrdcu Wrote:  It really depends on the value of that next conference contract. All Big 12 schools that have options will know how much they'll make elsewhere and what their schedule will look like. The question is will Fox and ESPN overpay again? I don't think so. ESPN didn't want to match Fox's bid for B1G content; probably won't do the same to the current Big 12 teams. Might be cheaper to add 2-4 Big 12 schools to the SEC and let Texas go independent.

Al we know is things will get interesting in a few years.

I agree. And to make it simple if ESPN added 5 to the SEC and ACC it would be break even for them minus the LHN if they can get out of that. If they add only 3 and let Texas pursue independence it would still be less money. Let FOX buy the other 5 or 6 and move them somewhere they have to pay more.

So if Texas joined the ACC for football only then together with N.D. they equal a whole school since N.D. joined for everything but football. Then add WVU to give the ACC more gravitas in all sports (like Louisville) and add Oklahoma and another to the SEC and they get out for full cost in 3 and they can either fold the LHN or keep it.

I think something like that would be the most effective outside of the SEC taking Texa-homa.

So your scenario has the ACC adding Texas as a football only member and then grabbing WVU as a full member. Even if ESPN paid the conference for the 'eers,I'm not sure the votes would be there. Assuming they are, the ACC probably needs a 16th full time member.

I could see the SEC grabbing OU and OSU to secure OU, then maybe KU and WVU if the presidents are in favor for it. Then, ten years later, adding FSU and Virginia Tech. :D

Anyway, if Texas did abandon the remenants of the Big 12 for a partial ACC membership, I imagine the rest of the Big 12 finds homes in the American or the MWC.

The only way I see Texas and friends joining the PAC would be if their collection of networks made competitive money. That might be enough to save Texas plus three other Big 12 schools from losing P5 status and money.

The only other possibility I see is Texas does a Notr Dame type deal with the American--same conference that had Norte Dame as a partial. There are already several former SWC schools there. Add in the remaining B12 schools and that would probably be the most economical move for all parties involved. Assuming the LHN doesn't throw a wrench in there.

It won't happen but the real way to do it is to take Texa-homa plus Kansas and West Virginia and move to 20 with four divisions of 5. That pretty well guts the value out of the Big 12.

Another move I would be open to would be Texas, Kansas, Oklahoma and Oklahoma State to 18.

But I figure the most likely outcome is going to be a move to 16 with one of the top 2 brands.

The most efficient move would surprise me, pleasantly. Oklahoma and Texas to 16, Alabama and Auburn to the East and Missouri to the West.

But truthfully I'm just ready to get it over with and start normalizing the seasons and reacquiring some old rivals to make it more fun.