(05-14-2017 08:44 AM)JRsec Wrote:  

(05-14-2017 08:28 AM)Hokie Mark Wrote:  The most likely scenario for Notre Dame joining the ACC in football, IMO:
1. The Irish go many years without a playoff berth, while the ACC champ keeps making it
2. The ACC beats the Irish on a regular basis, making it look less like a step down
3. NBC signs up a conference like the AAC for football, making ND less important
4. ACC media rights continue to increase in value.

All of these are plausible, and together put ND in a "why not join" situation. The ACC will not attempt to "force" ND to join for football, however.

JMO

Mark I think they join sooner rather than later and I don't think it will take 15 years. And if you beat them regularly they might look at the Big 10. But, I would expect that NBC might be one of the bidders on the SEC T1 rights in 2022 when we are getting ready for renewal with CBS. But, NBC won't be the only bidder.

Notre Dame really has a decision to make this time. They can take the ACC plunge and help to be a catalyst for the increased value of your media rights, remain secure by helping to secure the last conference in which they can find a comfortable fit, the right mix of sports (outside of hockey), and schools with compatible missions. Or, they can wait in the wings as demographics slowly constrain all of their objectives.

In other words it's bend or break time. I think South Bend bends South.

I predict that ND does nothing, JR. There is too much opposition and inertia at ND about this subject.

I think that the current discussion is all Brando running his mouth again, like last year.

But, you are correct that IF ND football joins a conference, it will be the ACC.

It sure as hell would not be the Big Ten. That is not even remotely in the cards.

As I said in the post above, in a worse case scenario, ND can milk indy status unless/until its football program is ruined, then activate the contract and join the ACC.

I am still talking years from now, even in a worse case scenario----not that I believe such a scenario will occur.

For all the talk about how bad ND has been, it won 12 games in 2012, 9 in 2013, 8 in 2014 and 10 in 2015. Not elite, but not as bad a recent record as others would have one believe.