(06-23-2020 01:16 PM)mrbig Wrote:  

(06-23-2020 01:57 AM)tanqtonic Wrote:  Got it. Since the country got locked down, and the economy shut down, the potential for both of those is easily plannable. What type of fing drugs are you on?

Classier than calling me "son" I guess.

Fair enough. Mea culpa. But the idea that one can 'plan' for this level of an economic hit is really kind of stupid.

One can plan, and just barely get by, with an economic disaster on a hyper local scale. Like your example of a hurricane.

When the dollar scale is literally multiple orders of magnitudes higher, and the geographic scale is that same multiple orders of magnitudes higher, your expectation that one can 'plan' for that level of economic hit is really kind of mind shakingly bizarre.

Quote:

(06-23-2020 01:57 AM)tanqtonic Wrote:  Uhh...... no. Its not. Its really only like.... well..... the entire fing economy of world dropping by 30% nearly instantaneously. There really is no corollary. Nor has there ever been one, not even close to this scope.

Simple test. Name one singular event that affected the entire world economy, and the entire US economy with *anything* near the breadth and depth of the worldwide lockdowns and shutdowns.

Criminy, I'll make it easier. Name any one singular event that has had, say, 15% of the global impact of this. I can name one in the entire fing scope of Western civilization --- the Black Death. Somehow I dont think there is much parallel to learn from that re: economic response to a fing global pandemic.

I mean, also as an example, this is such an amazingly extreme event that Hollywood made movies about this. Think about that.

Again, what type of fing drugs are you on? That is, besides the 'Trump is entirely at fault' stuff you mainline.....

I agree with you that many countries, particularly the USA, Russia, Brazil, and certainly some European countries as well, haven't handled this nearly as well as I would have expected and hoped given how inevitable/predictable a virus like this was. It is unfortunate that the lack of planning and slow reaction to the virus resulted in the extreme economy-crippling measures that were required. I'd like to say that if we could go back and do it over again, we would all handle it better. Then I walk around and see hardly anyone with masks (CDC screwed up that early recommendation for sure!) and plenty of large gatherings and realize maybe people (or Americans?) are just too stupid and stubborn to do what is necessary to avoid having to shut things down.

When you are dealing with an event that is more than likely 10,000x the economic and human scale of anything that happened in any single 60 days (in a relative scale) in the last 10,000 years, you say 'plan better'. Wow. Give me some of that **** you are drinking....

Quote: It is unfortunate that the lack of planning and slow reaction to the virus resulted in the extreme economy-crippling measures that were required.

This is almost (but not quite) the equivalent of you saying "It is unfortunate that the lack of planning and slow reaction to the Yellowstone super caldera that blanketed the NA continent in 4 feet of soot resulted in the extreme economy-crippling measures that were required." The difference between that Yellowstone thing and Wuhan is probably a single order of magnitude -- with Yellowstone being worse. The difference between what you allude to with a hurricane example as being the 'test' is probably one of 6-8 orders of magnitude.

I cant tell if this is OMB blindness here, or just that you are seemingly trying to equate a fing world wide pandemic to a single hurricane without understanding or being able to note the teeny tiny itsy bitsy issues of scope between the two.