(05-10-2022 11:42 AM)Big 12 fan too Wrote:  

(05-10-2022 11:35 AM)bullet Wrote:  

(05-10-2022 11:27 AM)Eggszecutor Wrote:  

(05-05-2022 03:12 PM)texoma Wrote:  

(05-05-2022 09:11 AM)Eggszecutor Wrote:  There is no reason for the Big XII to let them go early. If OU/UT want to leave early, they will have to pay.

I believe that is exactly what I said.

If by the negotiated fee you mean whatever is contractually obligated by OU/UT to break the contract, then we said the same thing.

The Big XII has no incentive to negotiate a lower buyout to let OU/UT leave. There is nothing it in for them except bringing in less money for their schools. Why would they do that?

To avoid grey legal battles trying to enforce the contract and alienating UT and OU and possibly the SEC.

The Big 12 welcomes discovery and because of the asymmetrical costs, the legal process.

And alienation UT and OU and possibly the SEC is message board fan talk. Gentlemen agreements of favorable future relations don’t lend to much of a discount rate in these situations. Those future positive interactions get leveraged or monetized now, or they don’t exist with respect to the settlement.

The Big 12 is willing to work with the SEC and ESPN. OU and UT are less important. Thus far, there hasn’t been a real incentive by any side, as there are too many looming disruptions to know what a good settlement looks like.

What’s the rush from the Big 12 POV? If things blow up from legal rulings, any settlement is moot, if not void. Even OU doesn’t have huge incentive with CFP at 4, save cash and get a better chance of playoffs for new coach isn’t a bad hand. SEC/ESPN could make more, but the main reason it was leaked early was to lock in OU and UT from other conferences, not because of getting them in before 2025. In terms of branding, there’s upside to OU getting a 3rd SEC playoff spot, which is nearly impossible if they move early.

In many ways, staying until 2025 is a settlement. The only party that loses is UT. They also have the means to prevent that

Texas used to rotate Houston and Rice. They quit playing Houston after the fiasco with their dangerous temporary bleachers. Alienating Texas an Oklahoma is a real possibility which is a negative for the Big 12 schools.

There is no certainty the Big 12 gets a full settlement in court. Its a huge risk to take it to court vs. a negotiated settlement. For Texas and OU, all they would be risking is attorney's fees. It will be settled and is highly unlikely to ever get close to court.

I suspect the idea before Aggie sabotage, was to announce after the 2021 season. Then there would be a max of 3 lame duck years, with the idea of one or two. Now we have a minimum of 2 lame duck years with possibly 4.