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solohawks Offline
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Post: #42
RE: US House thread
So for these last 3, we might not know the results until Thanksgiving. But they could lead a very intriguing scenario.

Worst case scenario for GOP right now is 225-210 with 11 Dems returning to Congress that voted against Pelosi. 9 of these voted symbolically against Pelosi with another candidate, while 2 voted PRESENT in 2019.
If that 225 to 210 margin comes to pass, the Dems would need 2 additional Dems to vote PRESENT instead of for an actual candidate.
Only 7 Dems could cast a symbolic vote against Pelosi.
The 4 PRESENT votes would reduce the amount needed to win from 218 to 214.
Pelosi would be speaker with a zero margin for error 214-210 vote with 4 voting PRESENT and 7 voting for another Dem.
Getting 4 of the 11 Dems to vote for PRESENT instead of listing an alternative probably won't be that hard BUT ya never know.

Best case scenario for the GOP is 222 to 213 with 10 Dems returning to Congress that voted against Pelosi. 8 of these voted symbolically against Pelosi with another candidate, while 2 voted PRESENT in 2019.
If that 222 to 213 margin comes to pass, the Dems would need 8 PRESENT votes and 2 of the 10 would actually have to vote for Pelosi.
There could be 0 symbolic votes against unless more than 2 were actually willing to vote for Pelosi.
The 8 PRESENT votes would reduce teh amount needed to win from 218 to 210
Pelosi would be speaker with a zero margin for error 214-213 vote with 8 voting PRESENT, 0 voting for another Dem and 2 former Anti Pelosi Dems bailing her out.

With 2022 looking to be an AWFUL House year for the Dems, it will be interesting to see if:
1. More Dems are willing to vote PRESENT when they could block Pelosi from becoming speaker.
2. If Anti Pelosi Dems are willing to vote for her in exchange for concessions knowing it might be a 2022 campaign issue they might lose
11-23-2020 02:59 PM
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Messages In This Thread
US House thread - bullet - 11-06-2020, 02:45 PM
RE: US House thread - bullet - 11-06-2020, 02:47 PM
RE: US House thread - MemTigers1998 - 11-06-2020, 02:52 PM
RE: US House thread - THE NC Herd Fan - 11-06-2020, 04:09 PM
RE: US House thread - solohawks - 11-06-2020, 04:29 PM
RE: US House thread - Curumim - 11-08-2020, 09:27 AM
RE: US House thread - Captain Bearcat - 11-06-2020, 04:42 PM
RE: US House thread - BearcatMan - 11-06-2020, 04:53 PM
RE: US House thread - SuperFlyBCat - 11-06-2020, 05:02 PM
RE: US House thread - bullet - 11-07-2020, 12:55 PM
RE: US House thread - rath v2.0 - 11-07-2020, 12:59 PM
RE: US House thread - solohawks - 11-07-2020, 10:06 PM
RE: US House thread - UofMemphis - 11-08-2020, 05:10 AM
RE: US House thread - solohawks - 11-07-2020, 10:26 PM
RE: US House thread - MemTigers1998 - 11-08-2020, 09:13 AM
RE: US House thread - UofMstateU - 11-09-2020, 03:17 PM
RE: US House thread - MemTigers1998 - 11-09-2020, 03:22 PM
US House thread - JMUDunk - 11-09-2020, 03:27 PM
RE: US House thread - bullet - 11-09-2020, 03:31 PM
RE: US House thread - Bronco'14 - 11-10-2020, 03:57 PM
RE: US House thread - Bearcat419 - 11-10-2020, 04:00 PM
RE: US House thread - shere khan - 11-15-2020, 07:53 PM
RE: US House thread - MileHighBronco - 11-23-2020, 03:16 PM
RE: US House thread - solohawks - 11-13-2020, 01:59 PM
RE: US House thread - BartlettTigerFan - 11-13-2020, 02:23 PM
RE: US House thread - solohawks - 11-13-2020, 03:51 PM
RE: US House thread - Native Georgian - 11-14-2020, 12:05 PM
RE: US House thread - solohawks - 11-14-2020, 06:55 PM
RE: US House thread - solohawks - 11-14-2020, 11:06 AM
RE: US House thread - Native Georgian - 11-14-2020, 11:52 AM
RE: US House thread - solohawks - 11-14-2020, 06:52 PM
RE: US House thread - bullet - 11-14-2020, 12:20 PM
RE: US House thread - CrimsonPhantom - 11-14-2020, 12:41 PM
RE: US House thread - CrimsonPhantom - 11-15-2020, 07:48 PM
RE: US House thread - bullet - 11-16-2020, 09:13 AM
RE: US House thread - MemTigers1998 - 11-16-2020, 09:20 AM
RE: US House thread - solohawks - 11-21-2020, 08:50 AM
RE: US House thread - Native Georgian - 11-21-2020, 09:10 AM
RE: US House thread - solohawks - 11-21-2020, 09:49 AM
RE: US House thread - solohawks - 11-21-2020, 09:55 AM
RE: US House thread - solohawks - 11-23-2020 02:59 PM
RE: US House thread - CrimsonPhantom - 11-23-2020, 04:11 PM



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