(09-15-2020 01:32 PM)Stammers Wrote:  

(09-15-2020 10:46 AM)Tiger87 Wrote:  The university professor who originally sounded the alarm that playing college football could lead to 40% infection rates - and that was cited by the B1G and the PAC - has changed his position. He re-analyzed after getting numbers from training camps, and feels like teams are keeping things under control. Early results are that the numbers from football programs are not any different from numbers within the overall demographics. That is, the risks for players are not greater than the risks for their peers in the student body.

At least that was his analysis in August. I would be curious to see his data now that the season has started and students are kinda back on campus. Unfortunately, I can't recall the guy's name and I can't locate the article I read about him.

It was a bit galling of him to say that the B1G and PAC over-reacted, when he was the one predicting huge outbreaks and multiple deaths of college players.

He predicted 3-7 deaths from a pool of 13,000 players. There have been 315 deaths from a pool of 21,630,000 US citizens. Going straight down the middle and assuming 5 deaths; that would project to 8,319 deaths among the peer group in the country. A slight difference of 26 times the number of deaths in the general population. Just a little mistake, no big deal, the same as saying 4 million deaths instead of 250,000 deaths.

Dr. Sheldon Jacobson told CBS Sports he expects a 30%-50% infection rate of the approximately 13,000 players competing in FBS this season. Based on his research, he also projects 3-7 deaths among those players due to COVID-19. Taking into account that range and medical care provided for football players, the death rate would be lower than the general population, Jacobson said.

Yeah that's the guy. I found the updated article I was referencing.

https://www.indystar.com/story/sports/co...368291001/

And another column authored by Jacobson where he really shows he's changed his position.

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/...371380001/