(03-13-2020 09:12 AM)arkstfan Wrote:  

(03-13-2020 06:39 AM)georgia_tech_swagger Wrote:  I think it's more likely baseball is resumed than we go all the way to fall without sports. I still say based on the preponderance of evidence that this is just a bad seasonal flu. The place with the best stats is South Korea. The mortality rate in South Korea is 0.7%. That's within the margin of error of a normal flu.

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It is irrelevant to simply toss out the South Korea example without looking at WHY South Korea is doing well.

1. They test test test test. They are testing 15,000 per day, we've not tested 15,000 cumulative.
2. The infected are tracked by GPS and shown on a live map (no names revealed)
3. Once you test positive, they do a deep dive into everyone you've potentially exposed and they test them.
4. They didn't impose a travel ban, they take the temperature of everyone entering the country and get contact information on everyone entering.

The UK NHS had estimated weeks ago that if ALL cases were counted the death rate from Coronavirus would be 9 in 1000 or 0.9%

The mortality rate of 0.7% in South Korea is NOT on par with the flu, it's more than 10 times higher than a typical flu outbreak which run 0.01% to 0.08%

Hmm so you saying a 70% death rate is happening in South Korea? Compared to 1%-7% to other flu.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronaviru...uth-korea/
Coronavirus Cases:
7,979
Deaths:
71
Recovered:
510

71/7979 = 0.0088983581902494
You may want to check you math. This is what adds fuel to Hysteria instead of just following precautions. People really should watch documentaries on the 1918 Spanish flu. That will show a true devastating pandemic. Smithsonions show American Hidden Stories had an excellent episode on this topic.

Everyone needs to use common sense, take care and follow the CDC recommendations.