(08-01-2019 02:00 PM)33laszlo99 Wrote:  

(07-30-2019 05:29 PM)Wedge Wrote:  

(07-30-2019 03:30 PM)Big Frog II Wrote:  I have to believe that some of these schools who are paying buckets of money they cannot afford will drop down. If state legislators continue to clamp down on college budgets, some of these schools are going to have to make the correct decision to spend less on sports.

Eventually. The pressure will start building right around the 2026 date mentioned in the OP. There are a lot of G5 programs running big deficits, crossing their fingers, sticking pins into voodoo dolls, whatever, hoping that they will be delivered to the promised land by P5 chaos. If there is no chaos (and IMO there won't be) by the time the next CFP deal is signed, then the G5 programs that are most squeezed by financial and/or political pressures will consider either dropping football entirely or just finding a much less costly way to run their football program.

Nevermind the the G5 football programs. How many of those universities will even exist ten years from now. (No, not global warming.) The hideous student loan racket will cave in upon itself and these schools will have to actually earn their place in the market. Take a long look at the MAC. See any essential academic stalwarts that we just can't do without? Miami's nice, but essential? Naaah.

Very large schools with extensive infrastructure will be able to field a scholarship based athletic program. The remaining survivors will be Div III or will offer club sports.

This is prescient, a few decades out, and already in the works in various ways, the most efficient of which is yet to emerge. That said telling folks suffering from the stress of future shock the end game will probably blow circuits, lead to PTSD reactions, and conclude with more denial. The frogs only think the water is warmer.