I suppose I agree with your assessment of the pitching staff, but there’s still lots of ifs/buts/maybes there.

Even if we can be above average there (I think even you’d concede that we don’t have the proven depth to be considered elite... Last time we had that was maybe 2013-14), we’ll still consider it a success to be average at the plate. Let’s assume we’re slightly above average in the field... That gives you a slightly above average team... Hence by prediction of 7-8 games above .500... An improvement over the last two years but an at-large bubble team at best.