Massey's breakdown on NIU's and Toledo's season:
Scares me a little to see only one really solid win probability where you don't have much doubt in the outcome, @ Ball State. Half of NIU's conference games are considered toss-ups.


NIU

Highly likely losses:
@ Iowa
@ Florida State

Likely losses:
Utah

Toss ups:
@ Eastern Michigan
Ohio
@ BYU
Toledo
@ Western Michigan

Likely Wins:
Central Michigan
@ Akron
Miami-OH

Highly Likely Wins:
@ Ball State

Projected Non-Conference Record: 1-3
Projected Conference Record: 5-3
Projected Final Record: 6-6

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Toledo

Highly Likely Losses:
Miami-FL

Likely Losses:
@ Fresno State

Toss ups:
@ Western Michigan
@ NIU

Likely Wins:
@ Eastern Michigan
Buffalo

Highly Likely Wins:
Virginia Military Institute
Nevada
Bowling Green
Ball State
@ Kent State
Central Michigan

Projected Non-Conference Record: 2-2
Projected Conference Record: 6-2
Projected Final Record: 8-4