(02-09-2018 12:33 PM)TU4ever Wrote:  

(02-09-2018 11:58 AM)stever20 Wrote:  I wouldn't be so sure about the NIT for a team like a Tulsa(and frankly maybe even UCF and SMU). There's going to be a lot of NIT bid thieves. Right now did a quick check and there are 11 conferences where champion is only bid(smaller conferences)- where the gap between 1st and 2nd is 1 game or less. So we could see 10-12 NIT bid thieves real easily- taking the number of true NIT teams down to only 20.

That would still mean any team in the top 80 would have a good shot.

Not really. You have top 45 or so making the tourney, then another 23 teams with at least 15 or so from 80 or beyond. So 53 of the top 80 are gone. If you have 12 NIT bid thieves, that leaves 20 spots. Realistically I think you need to be at least top 75 to make the NIT.

Also, not really sure where person got that Tulsa was in the top 80 in RPI. Just looked and they are 89. They really need a lot of help to just make the NIT. Looking at RPI forecast, they to finish with even a top 80 RPI would need to go 5-1 and finish at 19-11(RPI of 70). Even going 4-2 and finishing at 18-12 only has them at a RPI of 86. They really have their work cut out for them.