(01-08-2018 03:40 PM)Nerdlinger Wrote:  

(01-07-2018 02:46 PM)Erictelevision Wrote:  Which chain reaction is more likely:

A) SEC

1) All 3 (OU, OSU, UT) to SEC
2) KU (and perhaps ISU and KSU) to B1G
3) Remaining BIG XII merge with AAC-W

B) PAC-XII

1) All 3 to PAC 12
2) PAC 12 adds a MWC team (or BYU), becoming PAC 16
3) WVU to ACC
4) ISU to B1G
5) Remaining BIG XII merge with MWC

The trouble with the options here is that the one with the more plausible opening move (B) has very implausible events in the chain reaction. ISU (let alone KSU) to the Big Ten is perhaps the most implausible. Also, the Pac will not add BYU, and no current MWC schools move the needle.

If there is a OU/OSU/UT move to the Pac, TT is very likely to be along for the ride. There is no guarantee of a power conference landing spot for any other Big 12 schools though. The Big Ten might pick up Kansas, they might not. The SEC or ACC might pick up WV, but probably not. So if there is no salvation, the remnant Big 12 picks up 4 schools from the AAC and you get the "Tweener 10":

East: Cincinnati, UCF, UConn, USF, WV
West: Baylor, ISU, Kansas, KSU, TCU

They'd take Houston before they took Uconn. I'd add both Houston and ECU to that list for a more attractive lineup.