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2013 C-USA baseball according to Massey
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Jonathan Sadow Offline
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RE: 2013 C-USA baseball according to Massey
Now that the regular season is over, let's take a look and see how Massey did.

Team, Predicted wins, Actual wins, Difference:
Houston 16.35 13 -3.35
Memphis 14.64 14 -0.64
Rice 14.19 15 +0.81
Tulane 12.03 11 -1.03
Southern Mississippi 12.00 15 +3.00
East Carolina 11.49 14 +2.51
Alabama-Birmingham 9.27 7 -2.27
Central Florida 9.15 13 +3.85
Marshall 8.67 6 -2.67

Average difference = 2.24

He got three of the schools within a game of the actual total and had all within four games. Over a 24-game schedule that may not seem to be a lot, but thanks to the relative parity in C-USA this season that meant a big variation in the final standings (e.g., Houston finishing in fifth instead of first and Southern Miss in first instead of fifth).

As the RPI numbers were indicating, C-USA did indeed wind up being a one-bid conference. I'd have to check to be sure, but I think it's the first time in its history that the conference failed to get multiple bids to the baseball tournament. The Owls obviated any need for at-large qualifications by winning the conference tournament, but it would've been suspenseful if they hadn't won it. If Rice had lost in the final to Southern Miss, it might still have gotten a bid by virtue of its marginal RPI and having shared the regular-season title with the Golden Eagles, but not making the tournament final might well have knocked the Owls out of at-large consideration. Fortunately, it never came to that.
06-07-2013 01:19 PM
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RE: 2013 C-USA baseball according to Massey - Jonathan Sadow - 06-07-2013 01:19 PM



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