(08-07-2018 10:39 PM)Tom in Lazybrook Wrote:  I think the election results will show, relative to 2016

1) Non-college degreed Republicans and Independents are sticking with Trump
2) College degreed individuals are moving heavily to the Dems.

This district is 88 percent non-Hispanic white so there's really very little data to go on regarding minority voters.

Obviously the Dem increase of 10 percent came from somewhere. Was it all just higher Dem voter intensity? I think that was a lot of it, and probably a massive gender gap. I suspect that Trumps numbers among independent white voters with college degrees is where the additional Dem voters are coming from.

There is a difference between smart and educated. I know plenty of educated people that can't figure out how to set up a Roku. And, I know plenty of smart mechanics, plumbers, and AC repair men. By the way, I'm a minority with two college degrees and have never voted for a democrat.

Last night the dems lost in Ohio because their extreme base was the bulk of their support, and that faction voted early. The average democrat didn't get off the couch on election day. Republicans were lulled into a false sense of entitlement to the seat, and didn't show up for the special election either.

I actually find the results rather encouraging. It appears only the extreme faction of the dem party is energized heading into November. That is a good sign for Republicans. Once the hard hitting TV ads (Waters' call for violence, ANTIFA violence and attacks on diners, #walkaway, Dems at the State of the Union Address,...) start appearing, the more centrist dems will be even less inclined to vote in November, and the more Republicans will feel motivated.