(06-29-2018 10:47 AM)BobcatEngineer Wrote:  Does Peter Zeihan have a timeline included with his predictions? Are we talking like 50-years? 100?

He doesn't say that specifically, but in the first of this series of posts he says this:

Peter Zeihan Wrote:I’ve been speaking and writing about this approaching “end” for the better part of the past decade. One of the fun things – and incidentally, one of the things that helps keep me sane – is that it is all very abstract. I can blithely note that wars will happen, that supply chains will break down, that the lights will go out, that famine is an inevitability, but so long as the timeframes are fuzzy and the locations are over the horizon it is easy to speak and write with a degree of detachment. This doesn’t affect me, and certainly not right now.

I think/fear that I’m about to lose that insulation. The end is pretty god-damn nigh. Exactly how this plays out is still very much up in the air. The blow by blow will matter immensely in the short and even medium term. So I’m going to lay out the most recent big events that seem to be giving shape to the Disorder over the course of several newsletters.

He's not necessarily saying they're going to split just because folks are fed up. The predictions relate to financial collapse as a result of massive changes in world trade and alliances, and the corresponding actions/reactions.

Hard to imagine he's talking about 100 years and probably less than 50. BUT - I also think that if Trump is a one-termer and the next president tries to backtrack I think all of his predictions get pushed out.