I'm not sure where Clinton can be happy after Iowa. She had a 50 point lead there not too long ago. I can't recall the exact exit poll numbers but it was something like only 15 pct of voters under 30 voted for her instead of Sanders. That's shocking. And she didn't dominate the women's vote either - getting like 55 pct of that vote? Sanders will give her a real run for her money.

On the Republican side, New Hampshire will make or break the three governors (Bush, Kasich, Christie) who are the only real opposition to Rubio at this point. It could be Rubio vs. Cruz or Trump for the bulk of the spring, but I still think it's too early to say that for sure. When Trump/Cruz/Carson got 60 pct of the vote in Iowa (even though the Evangelical base is strong there), that's a strong indication that the anti-establishment faction will not give up an easy path for a safer candidate like Rubio to get the nomination. We won't have a brokered convention is my guess, but we could have a very ugly Feb. and March, possibly with Rubio pitted vs Cruz in a vicious UFC battle until one of them taps out.