If a G5 gets in and wins the whole thing, the whole house of cards collapses. The CFP will be restructured.

(09-14-2020 12:34 PM)ken d Wrote:  

(09-14-2020 09:32 AM)Gamecock Wrote:  This year is definitely the best shot we're going to get in a while. I don't think it's particularly likely, but if say UCF or BYU goes undefeated and the ACC/Big 12/SEC runner ups are all something like 9-3 then I think you have a shot.

The biggest problem the G5 and BYU will have is that there aren't many opportunities for the schools that start out with a presumption of a high ranking to get P5 scalps. It doesn't matter if you get a scalp against a second or third tier team in the B12. You have to beat a "name".

Of all the possible breakthroughs, Houston would appear to have the best chance, now that they have both Baylor and BYU on their schedule. But Cincy's best OOC win could be Army, and that's not going to impress the committee. UCF's best game is Georgia Tech, and they're not likely to stay ranked through the season. USF gets Notre Dame in South Bend, and if they pull that one off they have a chance if they also go undefeated. Memphis and Appalachian State have no marquee games to hang their hat on.

So I'm not sure this is their best shot.

Appalachian was scheduled to play Wisconsin in Week 1 and Wake Forest in Week 2. Based on how close App has come to beating ranked P5's in recent seasons (OT losses to Penn State in '18 and Tennessee in '16), I think this may have been the year.

Sigh.

Memphis is not going to go undefeated without Kenneth Gainwell in the backfield. A possibly fantastic season ... gone.