Updated after week 10. We have a shot at a 10 win seaso.


sauce:
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https://raw.githubusercontent.com/EvRoHa...-green.png[/url]

Looks like 6-6 is the most likely record. Just win the damn conference.

I think this definitely fits most people's expectations for the season.

I love how they give us an 80% win probability for CMU. Um, have they watched Huskie football over the last several years? No way.

NIU’s most likely win is CMU with only Akron (8%) and Ball St (9%) within striking distance.

Pseudo-statisticians, lol.

This is a great chart for stat/probability nerds like myself.

I do find the 20% chance of winning at FSU kind of odd. Namely since it's the same probablity that CMU beats NIU.

Also interesting is the probablity of NIU having 2 wins or less in the 1st 4 is 85% but yet the probablity of starting 3-1 or 4-0 is twice that of starting 0-4.(15.2% vs. 7.5%).

ECON 363 all over when we figured out the probability of Red/A's W.S. giving the A's a 55% chance of winnning the series. Glad I didn't bet it like another NIU alum turned Chicago area sports media celeb.

Updated. See 1st post

Updated. See 1st post

43% W % for BYU?

I'll take those odds, damn.

Updated

Man...toss-ups the rest of the year, going to be exciting.

Don't look now but we have a shot at 10 win season

(11-11-2018 10:22 PM)numbersdontlie Wrote:  Don't look now but we have a shot at 10 win season

or 11

Really need to get as many people as possible to Wednesday's game. If you have a situation where it is inconvenient, but you can make it Wednesday, make it happen! Who knows when the next opportunity for a MAC championship appearance will happen again. Show up for this one!

(11-11-2018 10:38 PM)MaddDawgz02 Wrote:  Really need to get as many people as possible to Wednesday's game. If you have a situation where it is inconvenient, but you can make it Wednesday, make it happen! Who knows when the next opportunity for a MAC championship appearance will happen again. Show up for this one!

You do realize we have almost everyone back next year right?

(11-12-2018 01:14 PM)HuskiePride12 Wrote:  

(11-11-2018 10:38 PM)MaddDawgz02 Wrote:  Really need to get as many people as possible to Wednesday's game. If you have a situation where it is inconvenient, but you can make it Wednesday, make it happen! Who knows when the next opportunity for a MAC championship appearance will happen again. Show up for this one!

You do realize we have almost everyone back next year right?

Yea, but injuries can happen, especially at QB. Ball State's QB is out (at least I think he's still out), EMU's QB Glass is out, Toledo's Guadagni is out and WMU's Wassink is out. Akron's QB is out also. It's a perilous position to play, apparently.

(11-12-2018 01:55 PM)NIU007 Wrote:  

(11-12-2018 01:14 PM)HuskiePride12 Wrote:  

(11-11-2018 10:38 PM)MaddDawgz02 Wrote:  Really need to get as many people as possible to Wednesday's game. If you have a situation where it is inconvenient, but you can make it Wednesday, make it happen! Who knows when the next opportunity for a MAC championship appearance will happen again. Show up for this one!

You do realize we have almost everyone back next year right?

Yea, but injuries can happen, especially at QB. Ball State's QB is out (at least I think he's still out), EMU's QB Glass is out, Toledo's Guadagni is out and WMU's Wassink is out. Akron's QB is out also. It's a perilous position to play, apparently.

I don’t think Childers is exactly irreplaceable....lol

I don’t think Childers is exactly irreplaceable....lol
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Comedy aside and like it or not, but at this point of the season, Childers IS irreplaceable.

(11-12-2018 02:11 PM)7 Wrote:  

(11-12-2018 01:55 PM)NIU007 Wrote:  

(11-12-2018 01:14 PM)HuskiePride12 Wrote:  

(11-11-2018 10:38 PM)MaddDawgz02 Wrote:  Really need to get as many people as possible to Wednesday's game. If you have a situation where it is inconvenient, but you can make it Wednesday, make it happen! Who knows when the next opportunity for a MAC championship appearance will happen again. Show up for this one!

You do realize we have almost everyone back next year right?

Yea, but injuries can happen, especially at QB. Ball State's QB is out (at least I think he's still out), EMU's QB Glass is out, Toledo's Guadagni is out and WMU's Wassink is out. Akron's QB is out also. It's a perilous position to play, apparently.

I don’t think Childers is exactly irreplaceable....lol

Considering we haven't seen Thompson except for a couple plays, we would have to assume there's a dropoff (?). And it wouldn't take much.