Too-early thoughts about the 2028 presidential race:
Democrats
The Democratic party claims a deep bench. They can go a lot of ways depending on who best catches voters’ interest.
Kamala Harris is in a good position. She has spoken up for a number of candidates and is now in a position to collect IOUs from winners. She campaigns as much more her own person today than in 2024 and is aggressive about delivering.
If Harris gets the nomination, expect her to pick an up-and-coming millennial as running mate. Pete Buttigieg is reportedly high on the list. Jon Ossoff may be as well.
If Harris doesn’t close the sale as front runner, expect the nominee to be one of those up-and-coming millennials. Mayor Pete and Jon Ossoff enjoy strong support. Cory Booker campaigns well and could emerge from the pack. Still, as I say, the Democrats claim a deep bench.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is reportedly exploring a US senate run in 2028. She makes anyone’s short list for VP, along with the always-can-do Zohran Mamdani and, now, James Talarico.
If a Democrat wins the Oval Office in 2028, Jasmine Crockett becomes a strong possibility for US Attorney General.
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Republicans
The likeliest GOP nominee is JD Vance, who may be running by then as a WH incumbent. (Keep an eye on how the 25th Amendment weather develops—especially between now and the third week of January.)
The
strongest Republican candidate is a governor right now—someone with executive cred and regional popularity who is unconnected to the Trump administration. Several of these exist. The GOP governor with the highest approval numbers is Phil Scott of Vermont:
Approval numbers are a helpful thing for a GOP contender to have.
Marco Rubio is in the mix but the Iran and Russia debacles may have dented his chances beyond repair.
Ted Cruz and Ron DeSantis are, sadly, autocrat wannabes who want in on Stephen Miller’s Project 2025 action. Fortunately, both are also longer shots. If Democrats keep half of their current mojo, the ability of either to carry even his home state is far from a sure bet.
Mike Johnson should emerge from the Trump Trainwreck with most body parts intact. He becomes a solid possibility for a Cabinet position if he decides he is done as a legislative creature.
Hegseth, RFK jr & cohorts will sink like rocks in history.
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