(09-16-2022 07:38 AM)Kruciff Wrote: Link
Quote:Christianity has remained at the forefront of the nation's political and social conversations for centuries — but new research shows that could be changing.
A new report by Pew Research Center and the General Social Survey published on Tuesday found that the large numbers of people in the U.S who practice Christianity are declining. The religion's demographic has been dwindling since the 1990s, the report said, as many adults transition to an identity of atheist, agnostic or "nothing in particular."
pretty poorly written/sourced article (in that they didn't question the methodology) based upon an even more poorly conducted survey by Pew, which is par for their course.
1. Jews and Muslims appear to account for 4-5% of our population, presumably Hindus/Sikhs/Buddhists/Etc another several percent. And there's little to no expectation in any of these scenarios of those groups growing which spits in the face of what we've seen over the past several decades.
to use your source's source:
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/20...s-to-grow/
2. no bias here:
Quote:None of the models considers Christianity numbers increasing, researchers said, as they are based on "dynamics currently shaping the religious landscape." Dramatic events, such as armed conflicts, social movements, or rising authoritarianism could trigger social and religious upheavals, they added.
3. I'm personally part of a growing number of former Catholics who have left the Church. For myself, I'm a deist in the Aquinas formulation but don't believe in Christ, others have left due to the leftward lurch the Church has taken, and even more due to the draconian rules still in place regarding issues like divorce. In my experience, all three groups would generally still regard ourselves as religious, and indeed, religious in the Judeo-Christian tradition in that we all respect the very positive influence of both faiths at a minimum (in my case) or still even consider themselves to be Christians without a home (in both of my latter examples, most would fall into the disaffiliation camp). Others from other denominations can chime in on this.
4. Academics generally suck at statistics and formulate artificial boundaries to achieve the results they want. I'm no expert, but I've taken more, and more rigorous, stats classes than most of the academics purporting to be experts. I've also built a real life analytics group employing multiple PhDs in both stats and, surprisingly to me working in finance, industrial engineering.
my two cents for whatever that's worth. probably a couple pennies or so.