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PredictIt markets - Rice93 - 02-20-2024 10:04 AM

Thought these were interesting:

2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee
Joe Biden 75%
Gavin Newsome 14%

2024 Republican Presidential Nominee
Trump 89%
Haley 5%

Harris the 47th US President?
Yes 25%
No 75%


RE: PredictIt markets - georgewebb - 02-20-2024 10:21 AM

Egad: most of the possibilities on that list are frightening*, depressing, or both.

My hunch is that Newsome's, Haley's, and Harris's chances are each a bit higher than the stated numbers, but I couldn't say how much higher.


This was funny: at first I mis-typed "frightening" and it was auto-corrected to "fragmenting". Is there such thing as a Freudian autocorrect? :)


RE: PredictIt markets - Rice93 - 02-20-2024 10:33 AM

(02-20-2024 10:21 AM)georgewebb Wrote:  Egad: most of the possibilities on that list are frightening*, depressing, or both.

My hunch is that Newsome's, Haley's, and Harris's chances are each a bit higher than the stated numbers, but I couldn't say how much higher.


This was funny: at first I mis-typed "frightening" and it was auto-corrected to "fragmenting". Is there such thing as a Freudian autocorrect? :)

That's interesting. I thought these were TOO high...


RE: PredictIt markets - OptimisticOwl - 02-20-2024 10:54 AM

The percentage of Harris as the 47th seems very low, whether she runs as the nominee or the VP.