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+----- Thread: TooLame next up! (/thread-959809.html)
TooLame next up! - doss2 - 11-19-2022 07:44 PM
Weather 46/34 and 70% chance of rain!
RE: TooLame next up! - Cat-Man - 11-19-2022 07:47 PM
Anyone who can accurately predict the weather 6 days in advance in Cincinnati should be the highest paid weatherman in the world.
RE: TooLame next up! - dave108 - 11-19-2022 07:49 PM
(11-19-2022 07:44 PM)doss2 Wrote: Weather 46/34 and 70% chance of rain!
i want a snow storm for those warm blooded southerners!
RE: TooLame next up! - CliftonAve - 11-19-2022 07:52 PM
Tulane is pretty legit this year. Dual-threat QB, very good RB and a tough defense. Bearcats are going to have their hands full.
RE: TooLame next up! - Billy_Bearcat - 11-19-2022 08:13 PM
Friday after Thanksgiving at noon with a backup QB. I predict we sleep walk our way to a large early deficit and can’t dig back out.
Tulane 31
UC 13
RE: TooLame next up! - Bearhawkeye - 11-19-2022 08:28 PM
I'm still trying to work my way through it, but IF this is accurate there's a pretty good chance we are looking at back-to-back games with Tulane:
Quote:Tulane vs. Cincinnati: November 25
Winner is in the AAC Championship Game
Loser is also in the AAC Championship Game, unless:
1. UCF beats USF
2. Tulsa beats Houston
So UCF goes to play the winner of our game with Tulane if they are in a 2-way tie for second with the loser of our game with Tulane (the Tulsa beats Houston scenario above)
But if we lose to Tulane, UCF beats USF and Houston beats Tulsa there's a 3-way tie for second (behind Tulane) at 6-2. It gets "fun" from there.
RE: TooLame next up! - Billy_Bearcat - 11-19-2022 08:32 PM
Number 1 is a certainty so the tweet is meaningless. USF is downright awful
RE: TooLame next up! - Bearhawkeye - 11-19-2022 08:52 PM
(11-19-2022 08:32 PM)Billy_Bearcat Wrote: Number 1 is a certainty so the tweet is meaningless. USF is downright awful
That seems like a fairly safe assumption (but there weren't a lot of folks picking 15.5 point underdogs Navy today either.)
So if we (and UCF) win and you'd rather face UCF at the Nip, root for Tulsa over Houston. If you'd rather get a back-to-back re-match with Tulane at the Nip this time, root for Houston and it may happen.
If we lose (and UCF wins), root for Houston and we may have a second shot at Tulane in the CCG. Head-to-head results (e.g. our loss to UCF) won't be determinative since Houston didn't play either of us in a 3-way tie for 2nd scenario.
RE: TooLame next up! - bearcatmark - 11-19-2022 09:19 PM
(11-19-2022 08:28 PM)Bearhawkeye Wrote: I'm still trying to work my way through it, but IF this is accurate there's a pretty good chance we are looking at back-to-back games with Tulane:
Quote:Tulane vs. Cincinnati: November 25
Winner is in the AAC Championship Game
Loser is also in the AAC Championship Game, unless:
1. UCF beats USF
2. Tulsa beats Houston
So UCF goes to play the winner of our game with Tulane if they are in a 2-way tie for second with the loser of our game with Tulane (the Tulsa beats Houston scenario above)
But if we lose to Tulane, UCF beats USF and Houston beats Tulsa there's a 3-way tie for second (behind Tulane) at 6-2. It gets "fun" from there.
I don't think it's necessarily right. My reading is if there is a 3-way tie it could end up coming down to the computer composite rankings. Not sure who would be ahead between ucf and Tulane in that scenario.
RE: TooLame next up! - bcat1997 - 11-19-2022 09:31 PM
Does UC have a chance to make it even if they lose to Tulane with a three-way tie with UCF and Houston. Would head to head matter since Houston didn't play either? Then go to computer rankings?
RE: TooLame next up! - Bearhawkeye - 11-19-2022 09:40 PM
(11-19-2022 09:19 PM)bearcatmark Wrote:(11-19-2022 08:28 PM)Bearhawkeye Wrote: I'm still trying to work my way through it, but IF this is accurate there's a pretty good chance we are looking at back-to-back games with Tulane:
Quote:Tulane vs. Cincinnati: November 25
Winner is in the AAC Championship Game
Loser is also in the AAC Championship Game, unless:
1. UCF beats USF
2. Tulsa beats Houston
So UCF goes to play the winner of our game with Tulane if they are in a 2-way tie for second with the loser of our game with Tulane (the Tulsa beats Houston scenario above)
But if we lose to Tulane, UCF beats USF and Houston beats Tulsa there's a 3-way tie for second (behind Tulane) at 6-2. It gets "fun" from there.
I don't think it's necessarily right. My reading is if there is a 3-way tie it could end up coming down to the computer composite rankings. Not sure who would be ahead between ucf and Tulane in that scenario.
What part isn't necessarily right? (By "fun" I was indicating it could get complicated...)
RE: TooLame next up! - bearcatmark - 11-19-2022 09:44 PM
(11-19-2022 09:40 PM)Bearhawkeye Wrote:(11-19-2022 09:19 PM)bearcatmark Wrote:(11-19-2022 08:28 PM)Bearhawkeye Wrote: I'm still trying to work my way through it, but IF this is accurate there's a pretty good chance we are looking at back-to-back games with Tulane:
Quote:Tulane vs. Cincinnati: November 25
Winner is in the AAC Championship Game
Loser is also in the AAC Championship Game, unless:
1. UCF beats USF
2. Tulsa beats Houston
So UCF goes to play the winner of our game with Tulane if they are in a 2-way tie for second with the loser of our game with Tulane (the Tulsa beats Houston scenario above)
But if we lose to Tulane, UCF beats USF and Houston beats Tulsa there's a 3-way tie for second (behind Tulane) at 6-2. It gets "fun" from there.
I don't think it's necessarily right. My reading is if there is a 3-way tie it could end up coming down to the computer composite rankings. Not sure who would be ahead between ucf and Tulane in that scenario.
What part isn't necessarily right? (By "fun" I was indicating it could get complicated...)
That the loser gets to the aac championship game on a 3 way tie
RE: TooLame next up! - Bearhawkeye - 11-19-2022 10:36 PM
(11-19-2022 09:44 PM)bearcatmark Wrote:(11-19-2022 09:40 PM)Bearhawkeye Wrote:(11-19-2022 09:19 PM)bearcatmark Wrote:(11-19-2022 08:28 PM)Bearhawkeye Wrote: I'm still trying to work my way through it, but IF this is accurate there's a pretty good chance we are looking at back-to-back games with Tulane:
Quote:Tulane vs. Cincinnati: November 25
Winner is in the AAC Championship Game
Loser is also in the AAC Championship Game, unless:
1. UCF beats USF
2. Tulsa beats Houston
So UCF goes to play the winner of our game with Tulane if they are in a 2-way tie for second with the loser of our game with Tulane (the Tulsa beats Houston scenario above)
But if we lose to Tulane, UCF beats USF and Houston beats Tulsa there's a 3-way tie for second (behind Tulane) at 6-2. It gets "fun" from there.
I don't think it's necessarily right. My reading is if there is a 3-way tie it could end up coming down to the computer composite rankings. Not sure who would be ahead between ucf and Tulane in that scenario.
What part isn't necessarily right? (By "fun" I was indicating it could get complicated...)
That the loser gets to the aac championship game on a 3 way tie
OK, I see. That's the "fun" scenario I was talking about so I agree, thanks.
RE: TooLame next up! - BearcatsUC - 11-20-2022 09:13 AM
Tulane dismantled SMU and looked good. UC…not so much. Not making any prediction but Tulane is gonna be a tough game. Glad it’s at Nippert.
RE: TooLame next up! - UCBearcatlawjd2 - 11-20-2022 09:33 AM
Somehow, someway, UC will win this game.
RE: TooLame next up! - Lurkercat - 11-20-2022 09:35 AM
(11-20-2022 09:33 AM)UCBearcatlawjd2 Wrote: Somehow, someway, UC will win this game.
I agree with you. No reason to believe that because Tulane looks better on paper, but I also have a good feeling Fick will pull out another ugly win
RE: TooLame next up! - UCBearcatlawjd2 - 11-20-2022 09:38 AM
(11-20-2022 09:35 AM)Lurkercat Wrote:(11-20-2022 09:33 AM)UCBearcatlawjd2 Wrote: Somehow, someway, UC will win this game.
I agree with you. No reason to believe that because Tulane looks better on paper, but I also have a good feeling Fick will pull out another ugly win
UC will still have the best big play guys on the field on Friday and a head coach that has big game experience. Add in Nippert and that should be enough to get the job done.
RE: TooLame next up! - bcat1997 - 11-20-2022 11:00 AM
(11-19-2022 09:31 PM)bcat1997 Wrote: Does UC have a chance to make it even if they lose to Tulane with a three-way tie with UCF and Houston. Would head to head matter since Houston didn't play either? Then go to computer rankings?
Massey has UCF at 24 and UC at 27 currently so I guess UCF would get the nod on three way tie. Agree?
RE: TooLame next up! - BcatMatt13 - 11-20-2022 11:02 AM
Last AAC regular season game
RE: TooLame next up! - rath v2.0 - 11-20-2022 11:02 AM
No idea how Tulane's offense could pass us by like it appears to have.