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RPI after games 1/28 - TU4ever - 01-29-2018 12:38 PM
RPI............Team....................Record
16..............Cincinnati............19-2 (8-0)
23..............Wichita................17-4 (7-2)
44..............Temple................11-10 (3-6)
49..............Houston.............. 16-4 (6-2)
61..............SMU.....................15-7 (5-4)
71..............UCF......................13-7 (4-4)
80..............UConn..................11-10 (4-5)
113............Memphis.............13-8 (4-4)
120............Tulsa....................11-10 (4-4)
128............Tulane..................12-8 (3-5)
270............USF.......................14-8 (1-8)
274............ECU......................8-14 (2-7)
4 top 50
7 top 100
Possible Tier 1 win teams (Home below 30, away below 70, neutral below 50):
Home: 2
Away: 5
Neutral: 4
Possible Tier 2 win teams (Home below 70, away below 120, neutral 100):
Home: 6
Away: 9
Neutral: 7
Bad losses are ECU and USF.
Tulane has moved out of the good road games category. SMU is just outside the bubble. UCF is borderline tier 1.
NCAA lock, Cincy and WSU
NCAA probable, Houston.
NCAA maybe, SMU
NCAA possible, Temple and UCF
NIT possible, UConn and Memphis
Outside looking in, Tulane and Tulsa
No chance, USF and ECU
RE: RPI after games 1/28 - CougarRed - 01-29-2018 02:25 PM
ESPN Strength of Record is the most predictive of the committee per Five Thirty-Eight:
11 Cincy
28 Wichita St
40 Houston
69 Temple
76 UCF
79 SMU
88 UConn
93 Memphis
124 Tulane
138 Tulsa
RE: RPI after games 1/28 - TU4ever - 01-29-2018 03:30 PM
(01-29-2018 02:25 PM)CougarRed Wrote: ESPN Strength of Record is the most predictive of the committee per Five Thirty-Eight:
11 Cincy
28 Wichita St
40 Houston
69 Temple
76 UCF
79 SMU
88 UConn
93 Memphis
124 Tulane
138 Tulsa
Can't say I am surprised a site related to espn said an ESPN metric is the best?
The committee uses RPI, that's why I post it..
RE: RPI after games 1/28 - stever20 - 01-29-2018 03:35 PM
tier 1 wins are road ones 1-75. So UCF does count as a tier 1 win on the road.
tier 2 wins are home ones 31-75 (so adding UCF), and road ones 76-135(so adding Tulane)
SO
Possible Tier 1 win teams (Home 1-30, away 1-75, neutral 1-50):
Home: 2
Away: 6
Neutral: 4
Possible Tier 2 win teams (31-75, away 76-135 neutral 51-100):
Home: 4(6 total tier 1/2)
Away: 4(10 total tier 1/2)
Neutral: 3(7 total tier 1/2)
Bad losses are ECU and USF.
RE: RPI after games 1/28 - Huskypride - 01-29-2018 06:48 PM
D1
11 Cincy
28 Wichita St
40 Houston
69 Temple
76 UCF
79 SMU
93 Memphis
124 Tulane
138 Tulsa
D3
1 UCan't...
RE: RPI after games 1/28 - TheBigEastSucks - 01-29-2018 07:20 PM
(01-29-2018 03:35 PM)stever20 Wrote: tier 1 wins are road ones 1-75. So UCF does count as a tier 1 win on the road.
tier 2 wins are home ones 31-75 (so adding UCF), and road ones 76-135(so adding Tulane)
SO
Possible Tier 1 win teams (Home 1-30, away 1-75, neutral 1-50):
Home: 2
Away: 6
Neutral: 4
Possible Tier 2 win teams (31-75, away 76-135 neutral 51-100):
Home: 4(6 total tier 1/2)
Away: 4(10 total tier 1/2)
Neutral: 3(7 total tier 1/2)
Bad losses are ECU and USF.
Not really fair to rag on ECU, we lost a hall of fame great in jeff Lebo. How we will ever recover
RE: RPI after games 1/28 - TU4ever - 01-29-2018 08:05 PM
(01-29-2018 03:35 PM)stever20 Wrote: tier 1 wins are road ones 1-75. So UCF does count as a tier 1 win on the road.
tier 2 wins are home ones 31-75 (so adding UCF), and road ones 76-135(so adding Tulane)
SO
Possible Tier 1 win teams (Home 1-30, away 1-75, neutral 1-50):
Home: 2
Away: 6
Neutral: 4
Possible Tier 2 win teams (31-75, away 76-135 neutral 51-100):
Home: 4(6 total tier 1/2)
Away: 4(10 total tier 1/2)
Neutral: 3(7 total tier 1/2)
Bad losses are ECU and USF.
Thanks for the correction. Looks even better
RE: RPI after games 1/28 - TU4ever - 01-29-2018 08:06 PM
(01-29-2018 07:20 PM)TheBigEastSucks Wrote:(01-29-2018 03:35 PM)stever20 Wrote: tier 1 wins are road ones 1-75. So UCF does count as a tier 1 win on the road.
tier 2 wins are home ones 31-75 (so adding UCF), and road ones 76-135(so adding Tulane)
SO
Possible Tier 1 win teams (Home 1-30, away 1-75, neutral 1-50):
Home: 2
Away: 6
Neutral: 4
Possible Tier 2 win teams (31-75, away 76-135 neutral 51-100):
Home: 4(6 total tier 1/2)
Away: 4(10 total tier 1/2)
Neutral: 3(7 total tier 1/2)
Bad losses are ECU and USF.
Not really fair to rag on ECU, we lost a hall of fame great in jeff Lebo. How we will ever recover
True, but it's not my call. The harsh committee gives no quarter.
RE: RPI after games 1/28 - billybobby777 - 01-29-2018 08:36 PM
(01-29-2018 02:25 PM)CougarRed Wrote: ESPN Strength of Record is the most predictive of the committee per Five Thirty-Eight:
11 Cincy
28 Wichita St
40 Houston
69 Temple
76 UCF
79 SMU
88 UConn
93 Memphis
124 Tulane
138 Tulsa
If this is true, there will only be 2 AAC teams in the tourney as a non ESPN 5 team can't be 40 plus & dance.
RE: RPI after games 1/28 - TripleA - 01-29-2018 09:56 PM
Still looking like 2, maybe 3, to the NCAAT, and 2 more, at best, to the NIT.
RE: RPI after games 1/28 - CougarRed - 01-30-2018 07:23 AM
Projected RPI
7 Cincy
14 Wichita St
42 Houston
50 SMU
57 Temple
68 UCF
86 UConn
123 Memphis
129 Tulsa
133 Tulane
http://www.rpiforecast.com/index2.html
Massey Composite
7 Cincy
19 Wichita St
40 Houston
48 SMU
81 Temple
84 UCF
121 Tulsa
122 UConn
125 Memphis
134 Tulane
https://www.masseyratings.com/cb/compare.htm
RE: RPI after games 1/28 - TU4ever - 01-30-2018 12:24 PM
(01-30-2018 07:23 AM)CougarRed Wrote: Projected RPI
7 Cincy
14 Wichita St
42 Houston
50 SMU
57 Temple
68 UCF
86 UConn
123 Memphis
129 Tulsa
133 Tulane
http://www.rpiforecast.com/index2.html
Massey Composite
7 Cincy
19 Wichita St
40 Houston
48 SMU
81 Temple
84 UCF
121 Tulsa
122 UConn
125 Memphis
134 Tulane
https://www.masseyratings.com/cb/compare.htm
If predicted RPI is accurate we have 3 bids (Cincy, WSU, and Houston), 1 strong bubble (SMU), 1 weak bubble (Temple) and probably 1- 2 nit teams (UCF and UConn).
A side note every road game but ECU and USF would be tier 2 at least. 5 of those 10 would be tier 1. 2 of those 5 are tier 1 no matter where you play. Houston and SMU will be a tier 1 victory in the conference tourny.
RE: RPI after games 1/28 - ultraviolet - 02-02-2018 02:54 PM
(01-29-2018 08:06 PM)TU4ever Wrote:(01-29-2018 07:20 PM)TheBigEastSucks Wrote:(01-29-2018 03:35 PM)stever20 Wrote: tier 1 wins are road ones 1-75. So UCF does count as a tier 1 win on the road.
tier 2 wins are home ones 31-75 (so adding UCF), and road ones 76-135(so adding Tulane)
SO
Possible Tier 1 win teams (Home 1-30, away 1-75, neutral 1-50):
Home: 2
Away: 6
Neutral: 4
Possible Tier 2 win teams (31-75, away 76-135 neutral 51-100):
Home: 4(6 total tier 1/2)
Away: 4(10 total tier 1/2)
Neutral: 3(7 total tier 1/2)
Bad losses are ECU and USF.
Not really fair to rag on ECU, we lost a hall of fame great in jeff Lebo. How we will ever recover
True, but it's not my call. The harsh committee gives no quarter.
They've always been unfair to ECU. I wish.