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All-Time Top 25 - Hokie Mark - 08-06-2017 06:09 AM

If you want to see why some teams have a more valuable brand than others, start with this All-Time Top 25 composed by CFN:

Rank Team Points Conf
1 Oklahoma 927 Big 12
2 Ohio State 916 Big Ten
3 Alabama 895 SEC
4 Michigan 764 Big Ten
5 Nebraska 736 Big Ten
6 USC 715 Pac-12
7 Texas 691 Big 12
8 Penn State 671 Big Ten
9 Notre Dame 654 Ind
10 Florida State 617 ACC
11 Tennessee 551 SEC
12 Miami 504 ACC
13 LSU 499 SEC
14 Georgia 487 SEC
15 Auburn 480 SEC
16 UCLA 475 Pac-12
17 Florida 464 SEC
18 Arkansas 428 SEC
19 Michigan State 426 Big Ten
20 Wisconsin 367 Big Ten
21 Iowa 320 Big Ten
22 Ole Miss 319 SEC
23 Washington 304 Pac-12
24 Clemson 290 ACC
25 Texas A&M 283 SEC

SUMMARY: How's the depth of each conference?
SEC: 9 teams
Big Ten: 7 teams
Pac-12: 3 teams
ACC: 3 teams
Big 12: 2 teams

The ACC is currently tied with the Pac-12 for third place, but both are well behind the top two - just what you would expect.

Both the ACC and the Pac-12 have 4 teams within easy striking distance of the top 25 - so an extended winning streak could shake things up a bit.

Others Receiving Votes (the next 10):
26 Georgia Tech 269 ACC
27 Colorado 268 Pac-12
28 Arizona State 251 Pac-12
29 Oregon 245 Pac-12
29 Stanford 245 Pac-12
31 Syracuse 240 ACC
32 Pittsburgh 238 ACC
33 TCU 237 Big 12
34 Virginia Tech 234 ACC
35 Missouri 228 SEC

For my analysis (and 38th-108th), click here:
http://accfootballrx.blogspot.com/2017/08/cfns-all-time-top-25.html


RE: All-Time Top 25 - IHAVETRIED - 08-06-2017 09:24 AM

(08-06-2017 06:09 AM)Hokie Mark Wrote:  If you want to see why some teams have a more valuable brand than others, start with this All-Time Top 25 composed by CFN:

Rank Team Points Conf
1 Oklahoma 927 Big 12
2 Ohio State 916 Big Ten
3 Alabama 895 SEC
4 Michigan 764 Big Ten
5 Nebraska 736 Big Ten
6 USC 715 Pac-12
7 Texas 691 Big 12
8 Penn State 671 Big Ten
9 Notre Dame 654 Ind
10 Florida State 617 ACC
11 Tennessee 551 SEC
12 Miami 504 ACC
13 LSU 499 SEC
14 Georgia 487 SEC
15 Auburn 480 SEC
16 UCLA 475 Pac-12
17 Florida 464 SEC
18 Arkansas 428 SEC
19 Michigan State 426 Big Ten
20 Wisconsin 367 Big Ten
21 Iowa 320 Big Ten
22 Ole Miss 319 SEC
23 Washington 304 Pac-12
24 Clemson 290 ACC
25 Texas A&M 283 SEC

SUMMARY: How's the depth of each conference?
SEC: 9 teams
Big Ten: 7 teams
Pac-12: 3 teams
ACC: 3 teams
Big 12: 2 teams

The ACC is currently tied with the Pac-12 for third place, but both are well behind the top two - just what you would expect.

Both the ACC and the Pac-12 have 4 teams within easy striking distance of the top 25 - so an extended winning streak could shake things up a bit.

Others Receiving Votes (the next 10):
26 Georgia Tech 269 ACC
27 Colorado 268 Pac-12
28 Arizona State 251 Pac-12
29 Oregon 245 Pac-12
29 Stanford 245 Pac-12
31 Syracuse 240 ACC
32 Pittsburgh 238 ACC
33 TCU 237 Big 12
34 Virginia Tech 234 ACC
35 Missouri 228 SEC

For my analysis (and 38th-108th), click here:
http://accfootballrx.blogspot.com/2017/08/cfns-all-time-top-25.html

Interesting. "Valuable Brands"? Was that the question? Fascinating.

EDIT:I just read the piece. It's not "brands", it is all-time coach's rankings. Not Valuable Brands.


RE: All-Time Top 25 - bullet - 08-06-2017 10:01 AM

Top 25 G5
38 BYU 208 Ind
42 Houston 180 American
46 Boise State 154 MW
47 Navy 133 American
54 SMU 107 American
57 Army 99 Ind
62 Air Force 84 MW
63 Wyoming 81 MW
68 Princeton 63 Ivy
69 Miami Univ. 55 MAC
70 Rice 46 C-USA
72 Cincinnati 41 American
73 Southern Miss 34 C-USA
74 Colorado State 33 MW
75 Marshall 32 C-USA
75 Utah State 32 MW
77 Tulane 30 American
77 Tulsa 30 American
79 San Diego State 29 MW
81 Toledo 28 MAC
82 East Carolina 20 American
82 UCF 20 American
85 Fresno State 18 MW
85 Hawaii 18 MW
85 Louisiana 18 Sun Belt


RE: All-Time Top 25 - Wedge - 08-06-2017 11:14 AM

This composite gives equal weight to every season from 1950 through 2016. What if it was done to give more weight to recent seasons and less to seasons in the distant past, which would be a better measure of a team's present-day reputation.

Would be interesting to see what the top 25 would look like if more recent seasons were given more weight, e.g., give every season a little less weight the farther away it is from the present, 2016 gets 100% weight in the composite ranking, 2015 gets 99%, 2014 gets 98%, so on and so forth, and at the end of the list 1950 gets 44% weight.


RE: All-Time Top 25 - Big Frog II - 08-06-2017 11:15 AM

I would say TCU shows up fairly well.


RE: All-Time Top 25 - Shox - 08-06-2017 11:44 AM

(08-06-2017 11:15 AM)Big Frog II Wrote:  I would say TCU shows up fairly well.

Missourah at 35? Lol. Last co championship was in 1969, last outright championship in 1940. They literally suck at everything.


RE: All-Time Top 25 - lumberpack4 - 08-06-2017 01:03 PM

(08-06-2017 11:14 AM)Wedge Wrote:  This composite gives equal weight to every season from 1950 through 2016. What if it was done to give more weight to recent seasons and less to seasons in the distant past, which would be a better measure of a team's present-day reputation.

Would be interesting to see what the top 25 would look like if more recent seasons were given more weight, e.g., give every season a little less weight the farther away it is from the present, 2016 gets 100% weight in the composite ranking, 2015 gets 99%, 2014 gets 98%, so on and so forth, and at the end of the list 1950 gets 44% weight.

You could make it simpler and give 100% to the current Teens, 90% to the Aughts, 80% to the 90's, 70% to the 80's,60% to the 70's, 50% to the 60's, and so on and so on to the 50's, 40's, 30's and 20's.

Nebraska, Miami, Arkansas, Iowa, and Colorado would seem to take the biggest hit.


RE: All-Time Top 25 - Wedge - 08-06-2017 02:09 PM

(08-06-2017 01:03 PM)lumberpack4 Wrote:  
(08-06-2017 11:14 AM)Wedge Wrote:  This composite gives equal weight to every season from 1950 through 2016. What if it was done to give more weight to recent seasons and less to seasons in the distant past, which would be a better measure of a team's present-day reputation.

Would be interesting to see what the top 25 would look like if more recent seasons were given more weight, e.g., give every season a little less weight the farther away it is from the present, 2016 gets 100% weight in the composite ranking, 2015 gets 99%, 2014 gets 98%, so on and so forth, and at the end of the list 1950 gets 44% weight.

You could make it simpler and give 100% to the current Teens, 90% to the Aughts, 80% to the 90's, 70% to the 80's,60% to the 70's, 50% to the 60's, and so on and so on to the 50's, 40's, 30's and 20's.

Nebraska, Miami, Arkansas, Iowa, and Colorado would seem to take the biggest hit.

Without doing the calculations, I think that giving more weight to recent results would change that list in these ways, among others.

- Bama and OU switch places (Bama becomes #1, OU #3).
- Michigan and Notre Dame each drop a couple places.
- Nebraska drops way down, Arkansas and Colorado also drop several places as you noted.
- Florida State moves up at least a few places, maybe up to as high as #6.
- Clemson moves up a few places. All but four of their teams ranked in the final coaches' poll are in the last half of the 1950-2016 period, including #1 last year and finished in the final rankings each of the last 6 years.
- Miami not hurt as much as you'd think, maybe not at all, b/c they benefit a lot from greatly reducing the impact of the years before they hired Schnellenberger. Same for Wisconsin because this re-weighting would de-emphasize the pre-Alvarez years.
- Boise State (at 46 on this list) moves up 15-25 places. They didn't even play I-A/FBS football before 1996.


RE: All-Time Top 25 - bullet - 08-06-2017 03:24 PM

(08-06-2017 02:09 PM)Wedge Wrote:  
(08-06-2017 01:03 PM)lumberpack4 Wrote:  
(08-06-2017 11:14 AM)Wedge Wrote:  This composite gives equal weight to every season from 1950 through 2016. What if it was done to give more weight to recent seasons and less to seasons in the distant past, which would be a better measure of a team's present-day reputation.

Would be interesting to see what the top 25 would look like if more recent seasons were given more weight, e.g., give every season a little less weight the farther away it is from the present, 2016 gets 100% weight in the composite ranking, 2015 gets 99%, 2014 gets 98%, so on and so forth, and at the end of the list 1950 gets 44% weight.

You could make it simpler and give 100% to the current Teens, 90% to the Aughts, 80% to the 90's, 70% to the 80's,60% to the 70's, 50% to the 60's, and so on and so on to the 50's, 40's, 30's and 20's.

Nebraska, Miami, Arkansas, Iowa, and Colorado would seem to take the biggest hit.

Without doing the calculations, I think that giving more weight to recent results would change that list in these ways, among others.

- Bama and OU switch places (Bama becomes #1, OU #3).
- Michigan and Notre Dame each drop a couple places.
- Nebraska drops way down, Arkansas and Colorado also drop several places as you noted.
- Florida State moves up at least a few places, maybe up to as high as #6.
- Clemson moves up a few places. All but four of their teams ranked in the final coaches' poll are in the last half of the 1950-2016 period, including #1 last year and finished in the final rankings each of the last 6 years.
- Miami not hurt as much as you'd think, maybe not at all, b/c they benefit a lot from greatly reducing the impact of the years before they hired Schnellenberger. Same for Wisconsin because this re-weighting would de-emphasize the pre-Alvarez years.
- Boise State (at 46 on this list) moves up 15-25 places. They didn't even play I-A/FBS football before 1996.

OU did very well in the BCS era. Alabama had some bad years. OU probably moves further ahead. Here is the top 25 in the BCS era (1998-2013) in the AP Poll:
1 Ohio St. 240
2 Oklahoma 231
3 Texas 213
4 LSU 200
5 USC 195
6 Florida 193
7 Oregon 184
8 Alabama 181
9 Georgia 177
10 FSU 171
11 Virginia Tech 164
12 Michigan 147
13 Miami 142
14 Boise 136
15 Wisconsin 135
16 Auburn 133
17 Kansas St. 109
18 Tennessee 103
19 TCU 103
20 Nebraska 96
21 Penn St. 94
22 Stanford 85
23 South Carolina 81
24 Louisville 80
25 Iowa 79


RE: All-Time Top 25 - Wedge - 08-06-2017 04:04 PM

(08-06-2017 03:24 PM)bullet Wrote:  
(08-06-2017 02:09 PM)Wedge Wrote:  
(08-06-2017 01:03 PM)lumberpack4 Wrote:  
(08-06-2017 11:14 AM)Wedge Wrote:  This composite gives equal weight to every season from 1950 through 2016. What if it was done to give more weight to recent seasons and less to seasons in the distant past, which would be a better measure of a team's present-day reputation.

Would be interesting to see what the top 25 would look like if more recent seasons were given more weight, e.g., give every season a little less weight the farther away it is from the present, 2016 gets 100% weight in the composite ranking, 2015 gets 99%, 2014 gets 98%, so on and so forth, and at the end of the list 1950 gets 44% weight.

You could make it simpler and give 100% to the current Teens, 90% to the Aughts, 80% to the 90's, 70% to the 80's,60% to the 70's, 50% to the 60's, and so on and so on to the 50's, 40's, 30's and 20's.

Nebraska, Miami, Arkansas, Iowa, and Colorado would seem to take the biggest hit.

Without doing the calculations, I think that giving more weight to recent results would change that list in these ways, among others.

- Bama and OU switch places (Bama becomes #1, OU #3).
- Michigan and Notre Dame each drop a couple places.
- Nebraska drops way down, Arkansas and Colorado also drop several places as you noted.
- Florida State moves up at least a few places, maybe up to as high as #6.
- Clemson moves up a few places. All but four of their teams ranked in the final coaches' poll are in the last half of the 1950-2016 period, including #1 last year and finished in the final rankings each of the last 6 years.
- Miami not hurt as much as you'd think, maybe not at all, b/c they benefit a lot from greatly reducing the impact of the years before they hired Schnellenberger. Same for Wisconsin because this re-weighting would de-emphasize the pre-Alvarez years.
- Boise State (at 46 on this list) moves up 15-25 places. They didn't even play I-A/FBS football before 1996.

OU did very well in the BCS era. Alabama had some bad years. OU probably moves further ahead. Here is the top 25 in the BCS era (1998-2013) in the AP Poll:
1 Ohio St. 240
2 Oklahoma 231
3 Texas 213
4 LSU 200
5 USC 195
6 Florida 193
7 Oregon 184
8 Alabama 181
9 Georgia 177
10 FSU 171
11 Virginia Tech 164
12 Michigan 147
13 Miami 142
14 Boise 136
15 Wisconsin 135
16 Auburn 133
17 Kansas St. 109
18 Tennessee 103
19 TCU 103
20 Nebraska 96
21 Penn St. 94
22 Stanford 85
23 South Carolina 81
24 Louisville 80
25 Iowa 79

Look at the last 10 years, since those would have the most weight by far in the "re-weighted" rankings.

Final ranking in coaches' poll, 2007-2016

Bama: NR, 6, 1, 11, 1, 1, 8, 4, 1, 2 = 199 points

OU: 8, 5, NR, 6, 15, 15, 6, NR, 5, 3 = 144 points

We also have to look at what each team would "lose" in a re-weighted 1950-2016 ranking compared to an un-weighted ranking. The 1950s would be drastically de-weighted, and the 1950s are the best-ever decade of OU football -- eight top-10s in the final coaches poll including three #1 finishes -- while the Tide had only four ranked finishes in the entire decade, highest was #9.


RE: All-Time Top 25 - Captain Bearcat - 08-06-2017 05:16 PM

(08-06-2017 09:24 AM)IHAVETRIED Wrote:  
(08-06-2017 06:09 AM)Hokie Mark Wrote:  If you want to see why some teams have a more valuable brand than others, start with this All-Time Top 25 composed by CFN:

Rank Team Points Conf
1 Oklahoma 927 Big 12
2 Ohio State 916 Big Ten
3 Alabama 895 SEC
4 Michigan 764 Big Ten
5 Nebraska 736 Big Ten
6 USC 715 Pac-12
7 Texas 691 Big 12
8 Penn State 671 Big Ten
9 Notre Dame 654 Ind
10 Florida State 617 ACC
11 Tennessee 551 SEC
12 Miami 504 ACC
13 LSU 499 SEC
14 Georgia 487 SEC
15 Auburn 480 SEC
16 UCLA 475 Pac-12
17 Florida 464 SEC
18 Arkansas 428 SEC
19 Michigan State 426 Big Ten
20 Wisconsin 367 Big Ten
21 Iowa 320 Big Ten
22 Ole Miss 319 SEC
23 Washington 304 Pac-12
24 Clemson 290 ACC
25 Texas A&M 283 SEC

SUMMARY: How's the depth of each conference?
SEC: 9 teams
Big Ten: 7 teams
Pac-12: 3 teams
ACC: 3 teams
Big 12: 2 teams

The ACC is currently tied with the Pac-12 for third place, but both are well behind the top two - just what you would expect.

Both the ACC and the Pac-12 have 4 teams within easy striking distance of the top 25 - so an extended winning streak could shake things up a bit.

Others Receiving Votes (the next 10):
26 Georgia Tech 269 ACC
27 Colorado 268 Pac-12
28 Arizona State 251 Pac-12
29 Oregon 245 Pac-12
29 Stanford 245 Pac-12
31 Syracuse 240 ACC
32 Pittsburgh 238 ACC
33 TCU 237 Big 12
34 Virginia Tech 234 ACC
35 Missouri 228 SEC

For my analysis (and 38th-108th), click here:
http://accfootballrx.blogspot.com/2017/08/cfns-all-time-top-25.html

Interesting. "Valuable Brands"? Was that the question? Fascinating.

EDIT:I just read the piece. It's not "brands", it is all-time coach's rankings. Not Valuable Brands.

A list of "valuable brands" would have to give basketball an almost equal weight with football (since NCAA basketball gets nearly the same revenue as NCAA football).


RE: All-Time Top 25 - Wedge - 08-06-2017 05:47 PM

(08-06-2017 05:16 PM)Captain Bearcat Wrote:  A list of "valuable brands" would have to give basketball an almost equal weight with football (since NCAA basketball gets nearly the same revenue as NCAA football).

The NCAA, because of March Madness, reaps the benefits of valuable basketball brands more so than the schools themselves. And my personal fan bias is that I like watching hoops more than football.

But... in high-revenue FBS programs, football generates more revenue for the school, with very, very few exceptions.

For example, we all think of UCLA as a basketball school, but UCLA reports three times as much revenue from football as men's basketball. Kentucky reports more revenue from football than men's basketball. Most of the big money-makers that we think of as "football schools" make 5-10 times more from football than basketball.

This article looked at the top 25 earners among public-school athletic departments and used data mostly from the USA Today numbers. 24 of these 25 earn more from football than basketball. Louisville is the only one reporting more revenue from men's basketball. And, since the table in this article lists media revenue separately from football and basketball revenue, and conference media revenue is about 80% attributable to football, the football/basketball disparity would be even greater at P5 schools if media revenue was allocated into a school's football or basketball revenue.


RE: All-Time Top 25 - bullet - 08-09-2017 02:18 PM

(08-06-2017 04:04 PM)Wedge Wrote:  
(08-06-2017 03:24 PM)bullet Wrote:  
(08-06-2017 02:09 PM)Wedge Wrote:  
(08-06-2017 01:03 PM)lumberpack4 Wrote:  
(08-06-2017 11:14 AM)Wedge Wrote:  This composite gives equal weight to every season from 1950 through 2016. What if it was done to give more weight to recent seasons and less to seasons in the distant past, which would be a better measure of a team's present-day reputation.

Would be interesting to see what the top 25 would look like if more recent seasons were given more weight, e.g., give every season a little less weight the farther away it is from the present, 2016 gets 100% weight in the composite ranking, 2015 gets 99%, 2014 gets 98%, so on and so forth, and at the end of the list 1950 gets 44% weight.

You could make it simpler and give 100% to the current Teens, 90% to the Aughts, 80% to the 90's, 70% to the 80's,60% to the 70's, 50% to the 60's, and so on and so on to the 50's, 40's, 30's and 20's.

Nebraska, Miami, Arkansas, Iowa, and Colorado would seem to take the biggest hit.

Without doing the calculations, I think that giving more weight to recent results would change that list in these ways, among others.

- Bama and OU switch places (Bama becomes #1, OU #3).
- Michigan and Notre Dame each drop a couple places.
- Nebraska drops way down, Arkansas and Colorado also drop several places as you noted.
- Florida State moves up at least a few places, maybe up to as high as #6.
- Clemson moves up a few places. All but four of their teams ranked in the final coaches' poll are in the last half of the 1950-2016 period, including #1 last year and finished in the final rankings each of the last 6 years.
- Miami not hurt as much as you'd think, maybe not at all, b/c they benefit a lot from greatly reducing the impact of the years before they hired Schnellenberger. Same for Wisconsin because this re-weighting would de-emphasize the pre-Alvarez years.
- Boise State (at 46 on this list) moves up 15-25 places. They didn't even play I-A/FBS football before 1996.

OU did very well in the BCS era. Alabama had some bad years. OU probably moves further ahead. Here is the top 25 in the BCS era (1998-2013) in the AP Poll:
1 Ohio St. 240
2 Oklahoma 231
3 Texas 213
4 LSU 200
5 USC 195
6 Florida 193
7 Oregon 184
8 Alabama 181
9 Georgia 177
10 FSU 171
11 Virginia Tech 164
12 Michigan 147
13 Miami 142
14 Boise 136
15 Wisconsin 135
16 Auburn 133
17 Kansas St. 109
18 Tennessee 103
19 TCU 103
20 Nebraska 96
21 Penn St. 94
22 Stanford 85
23 South Carolina 81
24 Louisville 80
25 Iowa 79

Look at the last 10 years, since those would have the most weight by far in the "re-weighted" rankings.

Final ranking in coaches' poll, 2007-2016

Bama: NR, 6, 1, 11, 1, 1, 8, 4, 1, 2 = 199 points

OU: 8, 5, NR, 6, 15, 15, 6, NR, 5, 3 = 144 points

We also have to look at what each team would "lose" in a re-weighted 1950-2016 ranking compared to an un-weighted ranking. The 1950s would be drastically de-weighted, and the 1950s are the best-ever decade of OU football -- eight top-10s in the final coaches poll including three #1 finishes -- while the Tide had only four ranked finishes in the entire decade, highest was #9.

I have started working on a version of a weighted average:
30s & 40s weight of 1
50s 1.1
60s 1.2
70s 1.3
80s 1.4
90s 1.5
00s 1.6
10s 1.7

Gotten to the 60s so far. When you do the 30s-50s, Army and Navy do very well. Duke is #9. Minnesota is #15. USC/UCLA and Cal are pretty close. TCU was #20 and 2nd among SWC schools. A # of WWII military bases got points, with Iowa pre-flight getting enough in just a few years to be #54, well ahead of Iowa and Iowa St. A number of schools now in FCS, Division III or without football also got points.

40s were dominated by Michigan and Notre Dame.
50s were dominated by Oklahoma.
60s were pretty balanced and even the cumulative started looking a lot like today. Arkansas (tied with Texas for #2 in the decade, behind #1 Alabama) moved up to #18 and 2nd among SWC schools while TCU started dropping. Minnesota was still #15, but Army and Navy had started dropping and Yale was the only school not currently in FBS to get points.


RE: All-Time Top 25 - bullet - 08-09-2017 02:20 PM

30s-50s
rank/school/weighted points/non-weighted points

Weighted Raw
1 Notre Dame 401.5 389.5
2 Oklahoma 329.2 308
3 Michigan 299.7 293
4 Tennessee 272.2 262
5 Ohio St. 256 244
6 Army 247.2 238
7 Texas 207.1 198
8 Georgia Tech 201.9 191.5
9 Duke 192 188
10 Michigan St. 188.4 173
11 Alabama 184.6 179
12 Navy 166.4 159.5
13 USC 163.3 157
14 UCLA 160.7 151
15 Minnesota 155.4 154
16 California 141.5 137
17 LSU 140.8 136
18 Wisconsin 140.7 130
19 Mississippi 140.7 131.3
20 TCU 135.2 127
21 Maryland 124.2 114
22 Texas A&M 113.7 109
23 Georgia 108.1 106
24 Auburn 105.7 97
25 Illinois 105.7 99
26 Pitt 103.4 100
27 Northwestern 98 98
28 Penn 95 95
29 Clemson 92.8 87
30 Fordham 88 88
31 Iowa 87.4 81
32 Santa Clara 85.5 85.5
33 Rice 82.7 80
34 Syracuse 79.2 72
35 Stanford 77.6 74
36 Tulsa 74.1 72
37 North Carolina 73 73
38 Cornell 68 68
39 Kentucky 65.6 61
40 Arkansas 65.3 62
41 Miami, FL 63.8 58
42 Princeton 59.7 55
43 Nebraska 58 58
44 SMU 57.8 57
45 Washington 57.3 54
46 Boston College 54 54
47 Missouri 53.3 52.5
48 Holy Cross 50.5 49.8
49 Baylor 49.5 45.5
50 Mississippi St. 48.2 47
51 Dartmouth 48 48
52 Tulane 47.6 47
53 Duqesne 46 46
54 Iowa pre-Flight 45 45
55 Purdue 44.1 42
56 Florida 42.9 39
57 Yale 42 42
58 Villanova 41 41
59 West Virginia 40.7 37
60 Penn St. 34.3 34.3
61 William & Mary 33 33
62 Oregon St. 31.6 30
63 Texas Tech 30.4 29
64 Great Lakes 30 30
65 Bainbridge 30 30
66 North Carolina St. 29.1 28
67 Oklahoma St. 28.7 28
68 Indiana 28 28
69 Wyoming 26.4 24
70 Washington St. 24.8 24
71 Pacific 23 23
72 Randolph Field 23 23
73 Air Force 22 20
74 Carnegie-Mellon 20 20
75 Del Monte PF 18 18
76 Oregon 17 17
77 Colorado 15.6 15
78 Arizona St. 15.4 14
79 Wake Forest 15 15
80 Virginia 14.3 13
81 Kansas 14 14
82 St. Mary's 14 14
83 Vanderbilt 14 14
84 San Francisco 13.2 12
85 Georgetown 13 13
86 Norman pre-flight 12.5 12.5
87 South Carolina 12.1 11
88 Columbia 12 12
89 Virginia Tech 11 10
90 Boston University 11 10
91 El Toro Marines 10 10
92 George Washington 9.9 9
93 Hardin-Simmons 9 9
94 Washington & Lee 8.8 8
95 Ft. Pierce 8 8
96 Colorado College 8 8
97 Delaware 7 7
98 Lafayette 7 7
99 VMI 6.6 6
100 Rutgers 6.6 6
101 2nd Air Force 6 6
102 Marquette 6 6
103 St. Mary's pre-flight 2 2


RE: All-Time Top 25 - bullet - 08-09-2017 02:21 PM

30s-60s
rank school weighted raw
1 Notre Dame 527.5 494.5
2 Oklahoma 396.4 364
3 Ohio St. 383.2 350
4 Tennessee 352.6 329
5 Alabama 350.2 317
6 Texas 348.7 316
7 Michigan 336.9 324
8 USC 285.7 259
9 Michigan St. 280.8 250
10 UCLA 269.9 242
11 LSU 262 237
12 Army 247.2 238
13 Mississippi 243.9 217.3
14 Georgia Tech 239.1 222.5
15 Minnesota 228.6 215
16 Navy 221.6 205.5
17 Duke 218.4 210
18 Arkansas 206.9 180
19 Wisconsin 169.5 154
20 Auburn 165.7 147
21 Missouri 164.9 145.5
22 Georgia 156.1 146
23 Penn St. 153.1 133.3
24 Nebraska 149.2 134
25 California 141.5 137
26 Purdue 140.7 122.5
27 TCU 135.2 127
28 Illinois 133.3 122
29 Pitt 129.8 122
30 Maryland 124.2 114
31 Iowa 115 104
32 Texas A&M 113.7 109
33 Syracuse 101.4 90.5
34 Oregon St. 101.2 88
35 Northwestern 98 98
36 Penn 95 95
37 Clemson 92.8 87
38 Rice 92.3 88
39 SMU 91.4 85
40 Fordham 88 88
41 Stanford 86 81
42 Santa Clara 85.5 85.5
43 Miami, FL 84.2 75
44 Washington 81.3 74
45 Tulsa 74.1 72
46 North Carolina 73 73
47 Cornell 68 68
48 Florida 66.9 59
49 Baylor 66.3 59.5
50 Kentucky 65.6 61
51 Princeton 59.7 55
52 Yale 56.4 54
53 Kansas 54.8 48
54 Indiana 54.4 50
55 Boston College 54 54
56 West Virginia 51.5 46
57 Holy Cross 50.5 49.8
58 Wyoming 50.4 44
59 Colorado 50.4 44
60 Mississippi St. 48.2 47
61 Dartmouth 48 48
62 Tulane 47.6 47
63 Duqesne 46 46
64 Iowa pre-Flight 45 45
65 Villanova 41 41
66 William & Mary 33 33
67 Texas Tech 30.4 29
68 Great Lakes 30 30
69 Bainbridge 30 30
70 North Carolina St. 29.1 28
71 Oklahoma St. 28.7 28
72 Houston 26.4 22
73 Washington St. 24.8 24
74 Pacific 23 23
75 Randolph Field 23 23
76 Air Force 22 20
77 Carnegie-Mellon 20 20
78 Rutgers 19.8 17
79 Utah St. 19.2 16
80 Del Monte PF 18 18
81 Oregon 17 17
82 Arizona St. 15.4 14
83 Wake Forest 15 15
84 Virginia 14.3 13
85 St. Mary's 14 14
86 Vanderbilt 14 14
87 San Francisco 13.2 12
88 Georgetown 13 13
89 Norman pre-flight 12.5 12.5
90 South Carolina 12.1 11
91 Columbia 12 12
92 Virginia Tech 11 10
93 Boston University 11 10
94 New Mexico St. 10.8 9
95 El Toro Marines 10 10
96 George Washington 9.9 9
97 Arizona 9.6 8
98 Hardin-Simmons 9 9
99 Washington & Lee 8.8 8
100 Ft. Pierce 8 8
101 Colorado College 8 8
102 Ohio 7.2 6
103 Delaware 7 7
104 Lafayette 7 7
105 VMI 6.6 6
106 2nd Air Force 6 6
107 Marquette 6 6
108 St. Mary's pre-flight 2 2


RE: All-Time Top 25 - Wedge - 08-09-2017 06:02 PM

(08-09-2017 02:18 PM)bullet Wrote:  
(08-06-2017 04:04 PM)Wedge Wrote:  
(08-06-2017 03:24 PM)bullet Wrote:  
(08-06-2017 02:09 PM)Wedge Wrote:  
(08-06-2017 01:03 PM)lumberpack4 Wrote:  You could make it simpler and give 100% to the current Teens, 90% to the Aughts, 80% to the 90's, 70% to the 80's,60% to the 70's, 50% to the 60's, and so on and so on to the 50's, 40's, 30's and 20's.

Nebraska, Miami, Arkansas, Iowa, and Colorado would seem to take the biggest hit.

Without doing the calculations, I think that giving more weight to recent results would change that list in these ways, among others.

- Bama and OU switch places (Bama becomes #1, OU #3).
- Michigan and Notre Dame each drop a couple places.
- Nebraska drops way down, Arkansas and Colorado also drop several places as you noted.
- Florida State moves up at least a few places, maybe up to as high as #6.
- Clemson moves up a few places. All but four of their teams ranked in the final coaches' poll are in the last half of the 1950-2016 period, including #1 last year and finished in the final rankings each of the last 6 years.
- Miami not hurt as much as you'd think, maybe not at all, b/c they benefit a lot from greatly reducing the impact of the years before they hired Schnellenberger. Same for Wisconsin because this re-weighting would de-emphasize the pre-Alvarez years.
- Boise State (at 46 on this list) moves up 15-25 places. They didn't even play I-A/FBS football before 1996.

OU did very well in the BCS era. Alabama had some bad years. OU probably moves further ahead. Here is the top 25 in the BCS era (1998-2013) in the AP Poll:
1 Ohio St. 240
2 Oklahoma 231
3 Texas 213
4 LSU 200
5 USC 195
6 Florida 193
7 Oregon 184
8 Alabama 181
9 Georgia 177
10 FSU 171
11 Virginia Tech 164
12 Michigan 147
13 Miami 142
14 Boise 136
15 Wisconsin 135
16 Auburn 133
17 Kansas St. 109
18 Tennessee 103
19 TCU 103
20 Nebraska 96
21 Penn St. 94
22 Stanford 85
23 South Carolina 81
24 Louisville 80
25 Iowa 79

Look at the last 10 years, since those would have the most weight by far in the "re-weighted" rankings.

Final ranking in coaches' poll, 2007-2016

Bama: NR, 6, 1, 11, 1, 1, 8, 4, 1, 2 = 199 points

OU: 8, 5, NR, 6, 15, 15, 6, NR, 5, 3 = 144 points

We also have to look at what each team would "lose" in a re-weighted 1950-2016 ranking compared to an un-weighted ranking. The 1950s would be drastically de-weighted, and the 1950s are the best-ever decade of OU football -- eight top-10s in the final coaches poll including three #1 finishes -- while the Tide had only four ranked finishes in the entire decade, highest was #9.

I have started working on a version of a weighted average:
30s & 40s weight of 1
50s 1.1
60s 1.2
70s 1.3
80s 1.4
90s 1.5
00s 1.6
10s 1.7

Gotten to the 60s so far. When you do the 30s-50s, Army and Navy do very well. Duke is #9. Minnesota is #15. USC/UCLA and Cal are pretty close. TCU was #20 and 2nd among SWC schools. A # of WWII military bases got points, with Iowa pre-flight getting enough in just a few years to be #54, well ahead of Iowa and Iowa St. A number of schools now in FCS, Division III or without football also got points.

40s were dominated by Michigan and Notre Dame.
50s were dominated by Oklahoma.
60s were pretty balanced and even the cumulative started looking a lot like today. Arkansas (tied with Texas for #2 in the decade, behind #1 Alabama) moved up to #18 and 2nd among SWC schools while TCU started dropping. Minnesota was still #15, but Army and Navy had started dropping and Yale was the only school not currently in FBS to get points.

You might want to Google to see if anyone has done something similar -- IIRC someone has done this decade-by-decade thing, though it might have been with the AP poll.


RE: All-Time Top 25 - bullet - 08-09-2017 09:05 PM

(08-09-2017 06:02 PM)Wedge Wrote:  
(08-09-2017 02:18 PM)bullet Wrote:  
(08-06-2017 04:04 PM)Wedge Wrote:  
(08-06-2017 03:24 PM)bullet Wrote:  
(08-06-2017 02:09 PM)Wedge Wrote:  Without doing the calculations, I think that giving more weight to recent results would change that list in these ways, among others.

- Bama and OU switch places (Bama becomes #1, OU #3).
- Michigan and Notre Dame each drop a couple places.
- Nebraska drops way down, Arkansas and Colorado also drop several places as you noted.
- Florida State moves up at least a few places, maybe up to as high as #6.
- Clemson moves up a few places. All but four of their teams ranked in the final coaches' poll are in the last half of the 1950-2016 period, including #1 last year and finished in the final rankings each of the last 6 years.
- Miami not hurt as much as you'd think, maybe not at all, b/c they benefit a lot from greatly reducing the impact of the years before they hired Schnellenberger. Same for Wisconsin because this re-weighting would de-emphasize the pre-Alvarez years.
- Boise State (at 46 on this list) moves up 15-25 places. They didn't even play I-A/FBS football before 1996.

OU did very well in the BCS era. Alabama had some bad years. OU probably moves further ahead. Here is the top 25 in the BCS era (1998-2013) in the AP Poll:
1 Ohio St. 240
2 Oklahoma 231
3 Texas 213
4 LSU 200
5 USC 195
6 Florida 193
7 Oregon 184
8 Alabama 181
9 Georgia 177
10 FSU 171
11 Virginia Tech 164
12 Michigan 147
13 Miami 142
14 Boise 136
15 Wisconsin 135
16 Auburn 133
17 Kansas St. 109
18 Tennessee 103
19 TCU 103
20 Nebraska 96
21 Penn St. 94
22 Stanford 85
23 South Carolina 81
24 Louisville 80
25 Iowa 79

Look at the last 10 years, since those would have the most weight by far in the "re-weighted" rankings.

Final ranking in coaches' poll, 2007-2016

Bama: NR, 6, 1, 11, 1, 1, 8, 4, 1, 2 = 199 points

OU: 8, 5, NR, 6, 15, 15, 6, NR, 5, 3 = 144 points

We also have to look at what each team would "lose" in a re-weighted 1950-2016 ranking compared to an un-weighted ranking. The 1950s would be drastically de-weighted, and the 1950s are the best-ever decade of OU football -- eight top-10s in the final coaches poll including three #1 finishes -- while the Tide had only four ranked finishes in the entire decade, highest was #9.

I have started working on a version of a weighted average:
30s & 40s weight of 1
50s 1.1
60s 1.2
70s 1.3
80s 1.4
90s 1.5
00s 1.6
10s 1.7

Gotten to the 60s so far. When you do the 30s-50s, Army and Navy do very well. Duke is #9. Minnesota is #15. USC/UCLA and Cal are pretty close. TCU was #20 and 2nd among SWC schools. A # of WWII military bases got points, with Iowa pre-flight getting enough in just a few years to be #54, well ahead of Iowa and Iowa St. A number of schools now in FCS, Division III or without football also got points.

40s were dominated by Michigan and Notre Dame.
50s were dominated by Oklahoma.
60s were pretty balanced and even the cumulative started looking a lot like today. Arkansas (tied with Texas for #2 in the decade, behind #1 Alabama) moved up to #18 and 2nd among SWC schools while TCU started dropping. Minnesota was still #15, but Army and Navy had started dropping and Yale was the only school not currently in FBS to get points.

You might want to Google to see if anyone has done something similar -- IIRC someone has done this decade-by-decade thing, though it might have been with the AP poll.

I'm using the raw numbers by decade for the AP Poll that I think was done by the AP. But I still have to sort.


RE: All-Time Top 25 - Sultan of Euphonistan - 08-12-2017 07:36 PM

The MAC will do pretty well in the 70s.


RE: All-Time Top 25 - HeartOfDixie - 08-12-2017 08:10 PM

These conversations always end up in the same place, methodology.


RE: All-Time Top 25 - bullet - 08-13-2017 09:09 PM

Rankings through the 70s. The results for the 70s alone looked pretty familiar except for the absence of the Florida schools. Miami was #24 for the decade, but that was the Miami in Ohio, not the one in Florida (1 Oklahoma, 2T Alabama, 2T Nebraska, 4 Michigan, 5 USC, 6 Ohio St., 7 Notre Dame, 8 Penn St., 9 Texas, 13 Auburn, 15 Tennessee, 17 LSU, 21 Georgia--Arizona St. and Arkansas were tied for 10th with Houston 12th).

Cumulative 30s-70s (weighted-raw)
1 Notre Dame 725.1 646.5
2 Oklahoma 672.65 576.5
3 Alabama 598.5 508
4 Ohio St. 595.1 513
5 Michigan 580 511
6 Texas 540.45 463.5
7 USC 517.1 437
8 Tennessee 443.6 399
9 Nebraska 397.5 325
10 UCLA 359.6 311
11 Penn St. 348.1 283.3
12 LSU 342.6 299
13 Arkansas 336.9 280
14 Michigan St. 317.2 278
15 Auburn 268.4 226
16 Georgia Tech 263.8 241.5
17 Mississippi 258.2 228.3
18 Army 247.2 238
19 Minnesota 228.6 215
20 Pitt 224.7 195
21 Georgia 223.7 198
22 Navy 221.6 205.5
23 Duke 218.4 210
24 Maryland 196.35 169.5
25 Missouri 190.9 165.5
26 Texas A&M 180 160
27 Purdue 178.4 151.5
28 Wisconsin 169.5 154
29 California 168.8 158
30 Stanford 156.2 135
31 Houston 153.8 120
32 Arizona St. 145.4 114
33 TCU 135.2 127
34 Illinois 133.3 122
35 Washington 130.7 112
36 Clemson 127.9 114
37 Colorado 119.3 97
38 North Carolina 117.2 107
39 Iowa 115 104
40 Syracuse 101.4 90.5
41 Oregon St. 101.2 88
42 Northwestern 98 98
43 Baylor 97.5 83.5
44 Penn 95 95
45 Rice 92.3 88
46 Kentucky 91.6 81
47 SMU 91.4 85
48 Fordham 88 88
49 Santa Clara 85.5 85.5
50 Miami, FL 84.2 75
51 North Carolina St. 83.7 70
52 Florida 81.2 70
53 Mississippi St. 74.2 67
54 Tulsa 74.1 72
55 Cornell 68 68
56 Texas Tech 66.8 57
57 Tulane 66.45 61.5
58 Kansas 65.2 56
59 Dartmouth 63.6 60
60 Indiana 63.5 57
61 Princeton 59.7 55
62 West Virginia 59.3 52
63 Yale 56.4 54
64 Boston College 54 54
65 Miami, O. 53.3 41
66 Holy Cross 50.5 49.8
67 Wyoming 50.4 44
68 Duqesne 46 46
69 Iowa pre-Flight 45 45
70 Oklahoma St. 44.3 40
71 Florida St. 41.6 32
72 Villanova 41 41
73 Air Force 35 30
74 Washington St. 33.9 31
75 Toledo 33.8 26
76 William & Mary 33 33
77 Rutgers 31.5 26
78 Great Lakes 30 30
79 Bainbridge 30 30
80 Brigham Young 24.7 19
81 Pacific 23 23
82 Randolph Field 23 23
83 Carnegie-Mellon 20 20
84 Arizona 20 16
85 Utah St. 19.2 16
86 Del Monte PF 18 18
87 Oregon 17 17
88 Wake Forest 15 15
89 Virginia 14.3 13
90 St. Mary's 14 14
91 Vanderbilt 14 14
92 San Francisco 13.2 12
93 Georgetown 13 13
94 San Diego St. 13 10
95 Norman pre-flight 12.5 12.5
96 South Carolina 12.1 11
97 Columbia 12 12
98 Temple 11.7 9
99 Virginia Tech 11 10
100 Boston University 11 10
101 New Mexico St. 10.8 9
102 Louisville 10.4 8
103 El Toro Marines 10 10
104 George Washington 9.9 9
105 Iowa St. 9.1 7
106 Hardin-Simmons 9 9
107 Washington & Lee 8.8 8
108 Ft. Pierce 8 8
109 Colorado College 8 8
110 Ohio 7.2 6
111 Delaware 7 7
112 Lafayette 7 7
113 VMI 6.6 6
114 2nd Air Force 6 6
115 Marquette 6 6
116 St. Mary's pre-flight 2 2