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+----- Thread: 2017 MLB Season Thread (/thread-809851.html)
RE: 2017 MLB Season Thread - stever20 - 04-11-2017 08:05 AM
on the good side for the Nats so far- Wieters who I've talked about still going well batting .400 so far, but the big story has to be the start of Ryan Zimmerman. Currently batting .400 as well with 3 homers and 6 RBI. 1.284 OPS. Gotten several huge hits so far. Werth as well is batting .360 so far with 2 homers and also 6 RBI. So despite Turner and Rendon batting a combined 6-44, Nats have scored 40 runs in 7 games.
Bench has gotten some huge hits so far as well. Adam Lind is 4-9 so far with his opening day homer and 4 RBI. Stephen Drew stepping in right now at SS and had a huge day last night.
1 thing that was huge last night- Koda Glover who gave up the game on Sunday came in and pitched strong in the 8th. Great job by Dusty getting him in there in a pressure situation.
RE: 2017 MLB Season Thread - stever20 - 04-11-2017 09:07 AM
So Dodgers lose last night to the Cubs in a game started by a lefty. 1-3 now games started by lefties....
looking- thru 8 games- Dodgers batting .220 vs lefties compared to .285 vs righties. last year the numbers were .214 vs .264. So not much improvement at all.
RE: 2017 MLB Season Thread - flyingswoosh - 04-11-2017 09:10 AM
(04-11-2017 09:07 AM)stever20 Wrote: So Dodgers lose last night to the Cubs in a game started by a lefty. 1-3 now games started by lefties....
looking- thru 8 games- Dodgers batting .220 vs lefties compared to .285 vs righties. last year the numbers were .214 vs .264. So not much improvement at all.
David Cameron believes it isn't a problem, but I'd say we have plenty of evidence to the contrary.
RE: 2017 MLB Season Thread - flyingswoosh - 04-11-2017 09:21 AM
One of the reasons the Dbacks have played well so far? Their BABIP with RISP is .500!! Something tells me that isn't going to continue
RE: 2017 MLB Season Thread - stever20 - 04-11-2017 09:26 AM
so looking at the stats so far league wide a few things really are interesting...
pitching- so far ERA of 3.99 is 0.20 lower than last year.
HR/team/g is down to 1.09 from last year 1.16.
walks and k's way up.
bb/team/g up from 3.11 to 3.48.
k/team/g up from 8.03 to 8.27.
league wide BAbip is down from .300 to .286
ops down from .739 to .712. 2nd lowest it's been in 25 years.
kind of interesting that last year the early numbers were way up and foretold of a real offensive season. Seems more lower scoring this year.
RE: 2017 MLB Season Thread - flyingswoosh - 04-11-2017 09:55 AM
(04-11-2017 09:26 AM)stever20 Wrote: so looking at the stats so far league wide a few things really are interesting...
pitching- so far ERA of 3.99 is 0.20 lower than last year.
HR/team/g is down to 1.09 from last year 1.16.
walks and k's way up.
bb/team/g up from 3.11 to 3.48.
k/team/g up from 8.03 to 8.27.
league wide BAbip is down from .300 to .286
ops down from .739 to .712. 2nd lowest it's been in 25 years.
kind of interesting that last year the early numbers were way up and foretold of a real offensive season. Seems more lower scoring this year.
The BB/team/g is an interesting one. That increase is enormous
RE: 2017 MLB Season Thread - stever20 - 04-11-2017 10:26 AM
(04-11-2017 09:55 AM)flyingswoosh Wrote:(04-11-2017 09:26 AM)stever20 Wrote: so looking at the stats so far league wide a few things really are interesting...
pitching- so far ERA of 3.99 is 0.20 lower than last year.
HR/team/g is down to 1.09 from last year 1.16.
walks and k's way up.
bb/team/g up from 3.11 to 3.48.
k/team/g up from 8.03 to 8.27.
league wide BAbip is down from .300 to .286
ops down from .739 to .712. 2nd lowest it's been in 25 years.
kind of interesting that last year the early numbers were way up and foretold of a real offensive season. Seems more lower scoring this year.
The BB/team/g is an interesting one. That increase is enormous
yeah. What's amazing with that is how scoring is so down this year.
part of that is GDP/team/g. It's gone from .77 up to .86- which would be 3rd highest ever, and most since 1951.
Oh- and overall batting avg right now- .241. only years lower than that- 1908, 1888, and 1968.
RE: 2017 MLB Season Thread - flyingswoosh - 04-11-2017 11:30 AM
(04-11-2017 10:26 AM)stever20 Wrote:(04-11-2017 09:55 AM)flyingswoosh Wrote:(04-11-2017 09:26 AM)stever20 Wrote: so looking at the stats so far league wide a few things really are interesting...
pitching- so far ERA of 3.99 is 0.20 lower than last year.
HR/team/g is down to 1.09 from last year 1.16.
walks and k's way up.
bb/team/g up from 3.11 to 3.48.
k/team/g up from 8.03 to 8.27.
league wide BAbip is down from .300 to .286
ops down from .739 to .712. 2nd lowest it's been in 25 years.
kind of interesting that last year the early numbers were way up and foretold of a real offensive season. Seems more lower scoring this year.
The BB/team/g is an interesting one. That increase is enormous
yeah. What's amazing with that is how scoring is so down this year.
part of that is GDP/team/g. It's gone from .77 up to .86- which would be 3rd highest ever, and most since 1951.
Oh- and overall batting avg right now- .241. only years lower than that- 1908, 1888, and 1968.
I wonder if the BABIP is going to rebound. If not, do we think it has something to do with teams getting even better and more advanced with their shifts?
RE: 2017 MLB Season Thread - flyingswoosh - 04-11-2017 11:36 AM
Man, Buxton's numbers are almost painful to look at.
fWAR: -.4
wRC+: -51
K Rate: 52%
Walk Rate: 4%
Obviously the sample is mad small (only 27 PA), but I can't imagine he's feeling confident at the moment. It's a shame for a team that doesn't spend a ton of money, and relies on its top prospects to perform
Update: he's currently 0-2 with 2 K's. The numbers are just startling. Unless you're fresh out of high school, it seems almost impossible to post numbers like that. He's gotta be the worst hitter in baseball at this moment
#2: in his third PA he K's looking.
RE: 2017 MLB Season Thread - Brookes Owl - 04-11-2017 05:15 PM
(04-11-2017 09:10 AM)flyingswoosh Wrote:(04-11-2017 09:07 AM)stever20 Wrote: So Dodgers lose last night to the Cubs in a game started by a lefty. 1-3 now games started by lefties....
looking- thru 8 games- Dodgers batting .220 vs lefties compared to .285 vs righties. last year the numbers were .214 vs .264. So not much improvement at all.
David Cameron believes it isn't a problem, but I'd say we have plenty of evidence to the contrary.
Dave Roberts says the same thing but I don't have a reason to believe either of them. Repeating myself: Until they hit LHP, they can't hit LHP.
RE: 2017 MLB Season Thread - Brookes Owl - 04-11-2017 05:20 PM
You guys did the same thing last year. Not even three series into the season, expecting anything meaningful from analytics is crazy.
RE: 2017 MLB Season Thread - stever20 - 04-11-2017 05:54 PM
(04-11-2017 05:20 PM)Brookes Owl Wrote: You guys did the same thing last year. Not even three series into the season, expecting anything meaningful from analytics is crazy.
well last year, the league started off hot on homers and never cooled off. the last 24 years, the lowest batting average is 10 points higher than the current league batting average. It's a very interesting trend to watch. You have 3 teams right now batting sub .200 after 7-8 games.
RE: 2017 MLB Season Thread - flyingswoosh - 04-11-2017 09:43 PM
(04-11-2017 05:15 PM)Brookes Owl Wrote:(04-11-2017 09:10 AM)flyingswoosh Wrote:(04-11-2017 09:07 AM)stever20 Wrote: So Dodgers lose last night to the Cubs in a game started by a lefty. 1-3 now games started by lefties....
looking- thru 8 games- Dodgers batting .220 vs lefties compared to .285 vs righties. last year the numbers were .214 vs .264. So not much improvement at all.
David Cameron believes it isn't a problem, but I'd say we have plenty of evidence to the contrary.
Dave Roberts says the same thing but I don't have a reason to believe either of them. Repeating myself: Until they hit LHP, they can't hit LHP.
pretty much
RE: 2017 MLB Season Thread - flyingswoosh - 04-11-2017 09:46 PM
Giants lineup tonight with Posey on the concussion DL, and Crawford Nutaking a day off:
Gorkys Hernandez / Belt / Pence / Aaron Hill / Nick Hundley / Nunez / Chris Marrero / Panik
So there's essentially 5 holes in the lineup when you include the pitcher, plus Panik and Belt are going up against a LHP. I'd love to know where all the money in our top 5 payroll goes
RE: 2017 MLB Season Thread - Brookes Owl - 04-11-2017 09:55 PM
(04-11-2017 05:54 PM)stever20 Wrote:(04-11-2017 05:20 PM)Brookes Owl Wrote: You guys did the same thing last year. Not even three series into the season, expecting anything meaningful from analytics is crazy.
well last year, the league started off hot on homers and never cooled off. the last 24 years, the lowest batting average is 10 points higher than the current league batting average. It's a very interesting trend to watch. You have 3 teams right now batting sub .200 after 7-8 games.
I'm not going to agree that less than 300 plate appearances out of 6000 is statistically significant.
RE: 2017 MLB Season Thread - flyingswoosh - 04-11-2017 10:03 PM
The Phillies had themselves a bad day
RE: 2017 MLB Season Thread - stever20 - 04-11-2017 11:35 PM
just looking last year in April- MLB avg was .249. So it did improve some as the year went along.
April averages last 6 years now.....
2017 .241 .286 babip
2016 .249 .296
2015 .250 .294
2014 .249 .298
2013 .251 .294
2012 .249 .290
so for this year to be at .241 so far is significant(and .241 is looking at Fan Graphs the avg even thru today). There is something there.
RE: 2017 MLB Season Thread - Brookes Owl - 04-12-2017 07:52 AM
*checks calendar*
NOPE
RE: 2017 MLB Season Thread - stever20 - 04-12-2017 08:14 AM
so if April wound up being 8 points lower than any other April has been in years it would be nothing to you?
RE: 2017 MLB Season Thread - Brookes Owl - 04-12-2017 09:51 AM
(04-12-2017 08:14 AM)stever20 Wrote: so if April wound up being 8 points lower than any other April has been in years it would be nothing to you?
I'm saying you can't project **** on April ******* 12.
Happy now swoosh?