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The official election prediction thread .... - UConn-SMU - 11-01-2012 10:30 PM
The national polls seem to be tied, roughly 47% to 47%. Since about 3/4 of the undecideds historically break for the challenger (and against the incumbent) on election day, it looks like Romney wins .... 51% to 48%.
Now the question becomes: can Obama pull out an electoral vote win? I don't know the answer to that. It seems possible, but not likely.
RE: The official election prediction thread .... - DaSaintFan - 11-01-2012 10:32 PM
I'm thinking Romney 279 EV's (won't be that much over for either side, whomever pulls it out).
RE: The official election prediction thread .... - Claw - 11-01-2012 11:46 PM
I think the Romney win will be big - Dick Morris big.
RE: The official election prediction thread .... - RobertN - 11-02-2012 12:03 AM
(11-01-2012 10:30 PM)UConn-SMU Wrote: The national polls seem to be tied, roughly 47% to 47%. Since about 3/4 of the undecideds historically break for the challenger (and against the incumbent) on election day, it looks like Romney wins .... 51% to 48%.Someone has been drinking heavily I see.
Now the question becomes: can Obama pull out an electoral vote win? I don't know the answer to that. It seems possible, but not likely.
RE: The official election prediction thread .... - Dak10 - 11-02-2012 12:18 AM
Obama will pull it out.
RE: The official election prediction thread .... - firmbizzle - 11-02-2012 02:28 AM
I thought that this was funny.
[attachment=4201]
RE: The official election prediction thread .... - Fort Bend Owl - 11-02-2012 05:03 AM
It's going to be very close. I think Obama wins but it won't be called until early Wednesday.
I think you can tell a lot by schedules. The last few days, Obama/Biden/Clinton are in Ohio, WI, Iowa, VA, NH, FL and CO. So that tells me they feel pretty good about PA. They're still running ads in MN but aren't campaigning there. MI will go blue.
Romney/Ryan are in WI, OH, CO, IA, NH, PA, FL, MN, VA and NV. So they must feel fine about NC. I'll give FL to Romney because I don't think the seniors are voting enough for Obama.
I'll give OH, PA and MI to Obama to give him 255 electoral votes. Romney has 235 at that point. Then it comes down to CO (9), IA (6), NV (6), NH (4), VA (13) and WI (10).
RE: The official election prediction thread .... - UConn-SMU - 11-02-2012 05:37 AM
(11-02-2012 02:28 AM)firmbizzle Wrote: I thought that this was funny.
That's a great way to determine public policy - by who has the better photo op. Never mind that Obama's policies will leave us weak and headed down the path of Greece; as long as he holds a woman in a blanket, all is well.
RE: The official election prediction thread .... - UConn-SMU - 11-02-2012 05:42 AM
(11-02-2012 12:03 AM)RobertN Wrote:(11-01-2012 10:30 PM)UConn-SMU Wrote: The national polls seem to be tied, roughly 47% to 47%. Since about 3/4 of the undecideds historically break for the challenger (and against the incumbent) on election day, it looks like Romney wins .... 51% to 48%.Someone has been drinking heavily I see.
Now the question becomes: can Obama pull out an electoral vote win? I don't know the answer to that. It seems possible, but not likely.
That's some very deep analysis. Why are all your posts written at the third grade level?
RE: The official election prediction thread .... - firmbizzle - 11-02-2012 06:15 AM
(11-02-2012 05:37 AM)UConn-SMU Wrote:(11-02-2012 02:28 AM)firmbizzle Wrote: I thought that this was funny.
That's a great way to determine public policy - by who has the better photo op. Never mind that Obama's policies will leave us weak and headed down the path of Greece; as long as he holds a woman in a blanket, all is well.
The attachment, not the sig.
RE: The official election prediction thread .... - gdunn - 11-02-2012 07:51 AM
The sig is misleading.
Bush indeed did a fly over, but he also toured all areas and while it was a clusterf*ck aid eventually came.
It hit Monday.. These people have no food or power.. They're eating out of dumpsters and NYC is more concerned about using all it's resources for a marathon instead of taking care of it's own.
RE: The official election prediction thread .... - DrTorch - 11-02-2012 07:57 AM
(11-02-2012 07:51 AM)gdunn Wrote: The sig is misleading.
Bush indeed did a fly over, but he also toured all areas and while it was a clusterf*ck aid eventually came.
It hit Monday.. These people have no food or power.. They're eating out of dumpsters and NYC is more concerned about using all it's resources for a marathon instead of taking care of it's own.
NYC should just get out of the way. People are already there w/ generators for sale (at a profit). Those despised food trucks are suddenly a valuable resource to feed people. Only thing needed is a way to make gasoline available w/o electricity. And hand pumps have existed for centuries.
Oh yeah, having a few big box stores around w/ their logisical ability to prioritize where products are going, wouldn't have been bad either.
Allow the market to work.
RE: The official election prediction thread .... - aTxTIGER - 11-02-2012 07:59 AM
(11-02-2012 07:51 AM)gdunn Wrote: The sig is misleading.
Bush indeed did a fly over, but he also toured all areas and while it was a clusterf*ck aid eventually came.
It hit Monday.. These people have no food or power.. They're eating out of dumpsters and NYC is more concerned about using all it's resources for a marathon instead of taking care of it's own.
Have you been to NYC? There are always people eating out of dumpsters.
RE: The official election prediction thread .... - gdunn - 11-02-2012 08:06 AM
(11-02-2012 07:59 AM)aTxTIGER Wrote:(11-02-2012 07:51 AM)gdunn Wrote: The sig is misleading.
Bush indeed did a fly over, but he also toured all areas and while it was a clusterf*ck aid eventually came.
It hit Monday.. These people have no food or power.. They're eating out of dumpsters and NYC is more concerned about using all it's resources for a marathon instead of taking care of it's own.
Have you been to NYC? There are always people eating out of dumpsters.
Yes I've been to NYC.. I lived in Staten Island for a time working.
I find it funny how Bush was criticized for how FEMA handled Katrina, but the same is happening here and Obama isn't being criticized.
RE: The official election prediction thread .... - gdunn - 11-02-2012 08:07 AM
(11-02-2012 07:57 AM)DrTorch Wrote:(11-02-2012 07:51 AM)gdunn Wrote: The sig is misleading.
Bush indeed did a fly over, but he also toured all areas and while it was a clusterf*ck aid eventually came.
It hit Monday.. These people have no food or power.. They're eating out of dumpsters and NYC is more concerned about using all it's resources for a marathon instead of taking care of it's own.
NYC should just get out of the way. People are already there w/ generators for sale (at a profit). Those despised food trucks are suddenly a valuable resource to feed people. Only thing needed is a way to make gasoline available w/o electricity. And hand pumps have existed for centuries.
Oh yeah, having a few big box stores around w/ their logisical ability to prioritize where products are going, wouldn't have been bad either.
Allow the market to work.
You'd think logic would overcome.
RE: The official election prediction thread .... - firmbizzle - 11-02-2012 08:07 AM
(11-01-2012 10:30 PM)UConn-SMU Wrote: The national polls seem to be tied, roughly 47% to 47%. Since about 3/4 of the undecideds historically break for the challenger (and against the incumbent) on election day, it looks like Romney wins .... 51% to 48%.
Now the question becomes: can Obama pull out an electoral vote win? I don't know the answer to that. It seems possible, but not likely.
History doesn't show that the break is overwhelming. Most people use 1980 as the benchmark but we didn't have data in 1980 like we do in 2012. We didn't see the break in 1992, 1996, or 2004. I do think that Obama needs to be up by 2-3% to overcome the Bradley effect.
RE: The official election prediction thread .... - Rebel - 11-02-2012 08:08 AM
If Obama is tied in the Obama-loving, leg-tingling left-wing MSM, he's losing BIG in reality.
RE: The official election prediction thread .... - aTxTIGER - 11-02-2012 08:12 AM
(11-02-2012 08:06 AM)gdunn Wrote:(11-02-2012 07:59 AM)aTxTIGER Wrote:(11-02-2012 07:51 AM)gdunn Wrote: The sig is misleading.
Bush indeed did a fly over, but he also toured all areas and while it was a clusterf*ck aid eventually came.
It hit Monday.. These people have no food or power.. They're eating out of dumpsters and NYC is more concerned about using all it's resources for a marathon instead of taking care of it's own.
Have you been to NYC? There are always people eating out of dumpsters.
Yes I've been to NYC.. I lived in Staten Island for a time working.
I find it funny how Bush was criticized for how FEMA handled Katrina, but the same is happening here and Obama isn't being criticized.
Yes. I blame Obama because ConEd has taken 5 days to get the power back on.
RE: The official election prediction thread .... - gdunn - 11-02-2012 08:19 AM
(11-02-2012 08:12 AM)aTxTIGER Wrote:(11-02-2012 08:06 AM)gdunn Wrote:(11-02-2012 07:59 AM)aTxTIGER Wrote:(11-02-2012 07:51 AM)gdunn Wrote: The sig is misleading.
Bush indeed did a fly over, but he also toured all areas and while it was a clusterf*ck aid eventually came.
It hit Monday.. These people have no food or power.. They're eating out of dumpsters and NYC is more concerned about using all it's resources for a marathon instead of taking care of it's own.
Have you been to NYC? There are always people eating out of dumpsters.
Yes I've been to NYC.. I lived in Staten Island for a time working.
I find it funny how Bush was criticized for how FEMA handled Katrina, but the same is happening here and Obama isn't being criticized.
Yes. I blame Obama because ConEd has taken 5 days to get the power back on.
Wow.. Really you think that's the only issue is ConEd?
They are utilizing generators for a marathon on Sunday that could be used in neighborhoods that will be out of power for weeks.
FEMA hasn't responded with food for these people.
RE: The official election prediction thread .... - firmbizzle - 11-02-2012 08:21 AM
(11-02-2012 08:12 AM)aTxTIGER Wrote:(11-02-2012 08:06 AM)gdunn Wrote:(11-02-2012 07:59 AM)aTxTIGER Wrote:(11-02-2012 07:51 AM)gdunn Wrote: The sig is misleading.
Bush indeed did a fly over, but he also toured all areas and while it was a clusterf*ck aid eventually came.
It hit Monday.. These people have no food or power.. They're eating out of dumpsters and NYC is more concerned about using all it's resources for a marathon instead of taking care of it's own.
Have you been to NYC? There are always people eating out of dumpsters.
Yes I've been to NYC.. I lived in Staten Island for a time working.
I find it funny how Bush was criticized for how FEMA handled Katrina, but the same is happening here and Obama isn't being criticized.
Yes. I blame Obama because ConEd has taken 5 days to get the power back on.
Definitely Obama's fault. "Heck of a job Whitey!" -Obama speaking to Donald White of FEMA.