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+---- Thread: 1993 vs. 2009 - 1994 = 2010? (/thread-397116.html)
1993 vs. 2009 - 1994 = 2010? - GGniner - 11-05-2009 09:47 AM
http://thehill.com/opinion/columnists/dick-morris
Quote:In Virginia, the outcomes in 1993 and 2009 were almost identical. In 1993, after the Democratic incumbent, Doug Wilder, could not seek reelection, the governor’s race pitted Republican George Allen against Democrat Mary Sue Terry. Allen won handily, 58-41 — virtually the same margin by which McDonnell defeated Deeds this week.
And in New Jersey, the parallels between 1993 and 2009 are equally striking. Democrat Jim Florio, then the governor, was seeking his second term against Republican Christie Todd Whitman. Just as in 2009 Chris Christie beat Jon Corzine, so in 1993 Whitman edged out Florio by 49-48. Chris Christie’s margin was bigger, but his vote share was almost identical to Whitman’s.
So if New Jersey and Virginia both behaved the same in 2009 as they did in 1993, will 2010 bring the same kind of sweeping Republican victory that 1994 did?
RE: 1993 vs. 2009 - 1994 = 2010? - Owl 69/70/75 - 11-05-2009 09:53 AM
I just read something saying this was more like 1937-38 (when R's picked up 80 seats) than like 1993-94. I need to read more about that.
RE: 1993 vs. 2009 - 1994 = 2010? - GGniner - 11-05-2009 10:29 AM
Dems won congress, running Conservative Democrats, not Liberals, in light Red and Purple Districts in years of GOP disgust. All of those seats they won in 2006 and 2008 are vulnerable next year.
Many of those congressmen will not support Pelosi/Obama Care and other things and try to quickly posture themselves as conservatives going into next year. Some may even try to switch parties to save their political fortunes. Heath Schuler is a good example to watch here.
the GOP ads will connect all of them directly to Pelosi/Obama and extremism.
Its all political cycles, what is key and encouraging is the Nation doesn't appear to have really gone Center-Left, 2008 was an outlier aided by the Media covering for Obama.