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Dems running low on ballots in NH - WoodlandsOwl - 01-08-2008 05:11 PM
Much higher turnout than expected....
That ought to screw yesterdays polls some because they used a sample based upon historical turnout to make their projection. They didn't expect this big a turnout.
Exit polling may help some, but its going to take a while to count these ballots.
If Hillary loses by > 7 points, she is toast.. Because she won't win South Carolina in Edwards backyard. And poof goes the money.
But as for Obama, the guys on Redeye said it best last night...
"So, while watching the debates over the weekend, I figured out why Obama is rising in popularity, and why Hilary is sinking like something that sinks. Obama doesn't have to do a damn thing but sit there and look pretty, and we love him. And Hilary doesn't have to do a damn thing but sit there and look constipated, and you hate her.
In a nutshell: Obama is a stripper and Hilary is your wife. Think about it. When you go to a strip club, you see the very best attributes of the stripper you're ogling. You see her curves and her implants, but you see none of her problems. You don't see her meth habit, her biker ex-boyfriend, the box of severed ears she keeps in her closet. But with your wife, you are familiar not with only the good, but with the bad. The very bad. And this is why men sometimes prefer strippers to their wives.
But, once you leave your wife and start dating a stripper - you quickly find out that she's far worse than your wife could ever be. Your wife doesn't eat her own hair, for example. If the elections were held now, Obama would probably win - which is essentially like marrying a stripper after spending a weekend with her in Vegas, doing lines off her butt."
But unlike that scenario, a quickie election can't be annulled. If you tie the knot with Obama, as shapely as he is, you're stuck with him for at least four years."
RE: Dems running low on ballots in NH - THE NC Herd Fan - 01-08-2008 05:16 PM
WMD Owl Wrote:Much higher turnout than expected....
That ought to screw yesterdays polls some because they used a sample based upon historical turnout to make their projection. They didn't expect this big a turnout.
Exit polling may help some, but its going to take a while to count these ballots.
If Hillary loses by > 7 points, she is toast.. Because she won't win South Carolina in Edwards backyard.
Let's hope it doesn't come to this.
![[Image: recount.jpg]](http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/world/images/recount.jpg)
![[Image: hanging_chad.jpg]](http://www.uncov.com/assets/2007/6/25/hanging_chad.jpg)
RE: Dems running low on ballots in NH - Ninerfan1 - 01-08-2008 06:43 PM
WMD Owl Wrote:If Hillary loses by > 7 points, she is toast.. Because she won't win South Carolina in Edwards backyard. And poof goes the money.
Edwards is a non-factor. Clinton has polled 15% higher than Edwards consistently.
Edwards will stay in as long as he can just for the hell of it. He's a joke at this point.
RE: Dems running low on ballots in NH - GGniner - 01-08-2008 06:49 PM
at this point can there be a Obama/Hillary ticket, or Hillary/Obama? or are they going to make that a tough sell in the near future once HIllary goes for the Jugular?
RE: Dems running low on ballots in NH - georgia_tech_swagger - 01-08-2008 07:26 PM
GGniner Wrote:at this point can there be a Obama/Hillary ticket, or Hillary/Obama? or are they going to make that a tough sell in the near future once HIllary goes for the Jugular?
Obama/Kucinich.
RE: Dems running low on ballots in NH - WoodlandsOwl - 01-08-2008 07:58 PM
Hillary has a marginal lead of 4 % with about 25% of the vote in...
CNN had a report of her reorganizing her team and POSSIBLY skipping both South Carolina and Nevada.